In the morning analysis, it was mentioned that Ethereum is focused on the 2050 resistance zone. After Bitcoin broke above 67,000, the key level to watch is still the 68,000 resistance. Although the actual rebound was quite strong, it did not exceed expectations by much. The market tested the critical resistance area but failed to break through effectively, instead showing clear signs of high-level stagnation and weakening momentum. Therefore, when reaching the high point area, the actual position has already taken a short position in accordance with the trend. This trade is a typical "expected trade," not a sudden chase order, and the rhythm still aligns with the market structure.



From the market structure perspective, Bitcoin is currently in a high-level consolidation zone after a phase of rebound on the daily chart, but on the 4-hour chart, a bearish divergence has already begun to form. The MACD momentum bars are gradually shortening, and the DIFF and DEA are showing signs of converging downward, indicating that bullish momentum is weakening. Meanwhile, RSI is falling from high levels and failing to stay in the strong zone, further confirming the validity of resistance above. After approaching 68,000, the trading volume did not expand in tandem, forming a divergence of "rising price with shrinking volume," which often signals a short-term correction. The key support level is around 67,000; if it breaks down with increased volume, further decline space will open up.

Ethereum also shows a weakening trend in tandem. After confirming the 2050 resistance, the 4-hour MACD has entered a high-level stagnation and weakening phase. Multiple attempts to test with upper shadows on the candlesticks failed, indicating significant selling pressure above. If the price continues to stay below 2050 in the short term, the correction structure will further extend.

Overall, the current phase still leans toward high-level profit-taking and trend-following short positions. The actual position has already entered at key resistance zones, and the next step is more about patiently waiting for the structure to play out. Trading is never about whether you can analyze well but whether you can decisively execute at the right moment. Otherwise, even the clearest strategy is just empty talk. #BTC能否守住6.5万美元? $BTC
BTC1,41%
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