Has the negotiation broken down? The real danger isn’t that war will break out, but “runaway expectations”!

Many people are most worried about:
Will it really come to a fight?
But what the market is more worried about is actually—
expectations slipping out of control.
Why?
Because as long as it stays within the “controllable range,” funds are priced rationally;
once it enters the “unpredictable” zone, it’s a full-scale rush to safety.
The current situation is right in the middle:
✔ Negotiations fall through
✔ Threats escalate
✔ But full-scale war hasn’t started yet
What’s most likely to happen in this phase?
——violent swings in sentiment.
Bad news today, a rebound tomorrow;
panic today, repair tomorrow.
This is a typical “runaway expectations” period.
So if you bet on a single direction, you’re very likely to get slapped in the face again and again.
A better approach is:
✔ Control your position size
✔ Wait for confirmation
✔ Watch key turning points
In one sentence: the real risk isn’t what happens, but not knowing what will happen.
#Gate广场四月发帖挑战