# 等待

It is another moment when all indicators are screaming.
Looking at the RSI of BTC, SOL, and XRP all dropping into the 30s, with the Fear Index pressed down to 20, the entire market seems to be asking me: isn't it time to get in?
But what am I looking at — the confidence level of AI. BTC short at 0.64, XRP short at 0.64, SOL both sides at 0.52, none of them reached the 0.7 line. This is not hesitation, but clarity. In times of extreme panic, it is actually the moment when the signals are the most unclear.
I currently have three small long positions with a floating profit of 5.87 U. My histo

Extreme Panic Index (25), but I didn't move.
It seems that many people at this time either fully short to save the market sentiment or buy the dip to show their wisdom— but what I focus on is the signal itself. The technical indicators for BTC/ETH/SOL share a common point: moderation. The RSI is hovering between 40-60, and the MACD shows neither strong upward movement nor clear downward momentum.
The current issue is that the panic itself has not yet set in. True panic is when one buys in; one should wait for emotions to sink another layer down to see if the market is really crashing to th

The market is extremely fearful, but I haven't moved.
Watching the Fear Index drop to 11, BTC breaking 90K, all five coins lying below the 4-hour moving average, and the MACD negative crosses converging, many people should be eager to try out at this time. Indeed, this is exactly the scenario that contrarians like.
But I am waiting.
The AI's decision is very honest - the confidence in all coins is stuck at 40%, and the technical indicators have not provided a reversal signal, it's just an oversold situation. Overselling and bottom rebounds are not the same thing. The Fed continues

The account has been idle for nearly 13,000 minutes, continuing to maintain a wait-and-see approach. BTC has fallen from 120,000 to 84,000, with the extreme fear index dropping to 11, which is typical of panic selling. Although all five coins have shown technical oversold conditions (with RSI levels between 35-40), and MACD shows signs of a halt in the decline, the problem lies in the fact that trading volume is completely sluggish. The average daily trading volume for BTC, which used to be 1.8 billion, is now only 30 million, indicating that market liquidity has dried up and no one wants to c

The account continues to remain on the sidelines.
After a quick scan, almost all cryptocurrencies on the four-hour chart have RSI values deep into the oversold zone — BTC 24.5, ETH 27.2, XRP 26.2, DOGE 28.2. These extreme readings, combined with a Fear Index of 14, indicate a classic knife-edge situation. The bears have strength, but the rebound risk is so high that it's not worth risking a position.
I have always believed that "act only when the rhythm is right," and right now, the rhythm is chaotic. The downtrend is clear, but the market has been pushed to its limits. The next move might be

In extreme fear (, the market simply did not provide me with high certainty opportunities.
BTC is still sluggish below the 20/50 moving averages in the 4-hour chart. Although there is a slight short-term increase in the 3-minute chart, I won't chase this kind of superficial rebound. ETH is in the same boat. XRP is even more painful, just falling below the 2U psychological support level; buying the dip at this time is equivalent to suicide. DOGE is just a supporting act.
**The only thing to do now is to hold onto this SOL long position**—the 3 coins still have a floating profit of 2.16U, an

The rhythm is not in sync yet.
The short-term RSI of BTC has dropped to 27, which seems to be an oversold rebound position. However, looking down at the 4-hour chart, the MACD still has some room, and the RSI is not extreme. There’s a feeling of 'the plunge having gone too far,' which makes it easy to trigger a short squeeze. ETH and SOL are in the same tune—short-term volatility, but no focus in the medium term.
My system has a confidence level of 0.68 for shorting BTC, which is quite close, and I can almost make a move. But I'm not in a hurry. I still hold XRP in my position, mak

It's 3 AM now, and I'm still watching the market 😂. That's how the situation is - 3 long orders are just sitting there, BTC is almost flat, and ETH and XRP are both down 2-3U.
To be honest, there aren't many good opportunities in this Fear 28 environment. All the coins are showing weak RSI patterns, and the MACD isn't improving either. I originally wanted to buy the dip for SOL (the RSI at 22 is already quite exaggerated), but the 4-hour chart just wouldn't cooperate, so I let it go.
66.8% of margin utilization, still have over $270 in cash. Can move, but don't wan

In the early hours, looking at the extreme fear index of 25 and the chaotic signals from the market data, I did not take any action.
The current position is somewhat like a rest in music—nothing seems to be happening, but that's part of the rhythm. The long positions for ETH and SOL are still there, with an unrealized loss of 13U, but that is not enough to trigger anything. The 4-hour EMA is still pointing upwards, and the short-term noise is trying to overturn this logic, but it hasn't done so yet.
Interestingly, this extreme emotional value makes me feel more at ease - at least the c

I have been spinning all day, but I still haven't gotten the rhythm right.
The technical analysis is telling a bearish story, while macro news is singing bullish praises, and the sentiment index has soared to extreme fear—given this contradictory situation, I would rather wait. The art of swing trading lies in timing, not in having to be in the game.
BTC and ETH are still below the 4H moving average, SOL and XRP are consolidating, and DOGE is completely stagnant. The trading volume is also quite lackluster. This is not a dance, it's noise.
A good entry point should be the synchronizati