BITCOIN Price Analysis:

Every big player and serious investor knows that once the FED starts cutting rates, we usually see a strong correction afterwards. In my opinion, the September meeting can and should be considered as the first significant rate cut, given current market events. It’s the most important one compared to the last cut since 2020 in September 2024, which showed no signs of correction. Back then, people were calling for a strong pullback, while I said clearly that the September 2024 cut was not significant at all, and I was proven correct. In terms of market understanding, such a FED pivot is considered a soft landing, followed with consolidation and stabilization, which the FED indeed managed to achieve. My prediction then proved more than correct, ignoring all the garbage talk about stocks and crypto that the markets are “always” dropping after the first cut. That is simply not true. The real drop happens only after the first SIGNIFICANT cut, when uncertainty kicks in and opinions split. That is why this cut is completely different, and why it will lead to a strong correction in stocks and crypto. Don’t compare this cycle to others or to other emergency cuts; each rate cut is unique and should be analyzed on its own terms. I strongly believe that this rate cut will play a key role in the market correction that will take place in September. The next FOMC meeting is set on 17th of September.

比特币价格分析：
每一位资深玩家和严肃投资者都清楚，当美联储(FED)启动降息周期后，市场往往会出现深度回调。结合当前市场态势，我认为2024年9月的议息会议应当被视为本轮周期首次具有实质意义的降息——相较于2020年以来的历次降息，这次会议的重要性截然不同。2024年9月那次降息并未引发回调，当时市场普遍预期将出现剧烈回撤，而我明确指出那次降息根本不具备实质影响力，事后验证了这一判断。

从市场认知维度看，这类美联储政策转向通常被视为软着陆信号，后续会伴随市场整固与企稳——美联储确实成功实现了这项目标。事实证明我的预测完全正确，那些关于"首次降息后股市和加密货币必然暴跌"的论调纯属无稽之谈。真正的市场转折点出现在首次具有重大意义的降息之后，当不确定性开始弥漫、市场观点出现严重分歧时。这正是本次降息与既往截然不同的根本原因，也解释了为何它将引发股市和加密资产的深度回调。

切勿将本轮周期与历史周期或紧急降息相提并论——每次降息都具有独特性，需要基于其特定背景进行分析。我坚信本次降息将成为引发9月市场修正的关键催化剂。下一次联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)会议定于9月17日举行。
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