#大户持仓动态 SOL tonight at the crossroads, the choice is coming soon

Good evening everyone! Recently, observing SOL's performance, it’s quite interesting—price oscillates repeatedly between 127.6 and 127.9, almost no breakthrough movements during the evening session. But this calm often is an illusion; underlying forces are accumulating. Experienced traders know very well: the night before a big move, it’s usually like this.

Here I will directly analyze the current situation (referencing the 15-minute chart at 20:00 on December 17). SOL is currently stuck in a classic "midline position"—short-term moving averages support from below, but long-term moving averages suppress from above. What does this extreme compression indicate? A direction is about to be chosen.

Three opportunities for the bulls are here:

1. The price can break through 128.04 with volume and stabilize. Once this move is completed, the upward space opens instantly, and light positions can follow.

2. The price stays above 127.28 and 127.33, then gradually raises the bottom. Confirmation of short-term support is effective, and the bulls are brewing strength; this is a positive sign.

3. The price retraces to around 127.3 and stops, with a long lower shadow on the candlestick. This is a classic "bottom fishing" opportunity, with a good cost-performance ratio, and trying to buy low is advisable.

Three signals for the bears are here:

1. The price reaches near 128.04 but cannot go higher, volume does not follow. This indicates real pressure above, a clear sign of weakness, and a light short position can be attempted in this area.

2. The price increases volume and breaks through the support bands of MA7 and MA25 (around 127.3), but when rebounding, it lacks strength to recover. The short-term structure has worsened; it’s suitable to go short with a target below 126.5.

3. Any rebound lacks strength (very small volume), but during declines, there’s sudden heavy selling (volume sharply increases). This indicates capital fleeing, and caution is needed.

SOL is now like a fully drawn bow. Break above 128.04 and stabilize, consider going long; break below 127.3 and fail to hold, consider going short. The middle position? Just watch the show, no need to rush. The market is surging, and the next wave of trend will soon surface.