PANews January 8 News: PANews recently analyzed historical market data from 295,000 markets on the Polymarket platform. The data shows:
Over 60% of short-term markets become “zombies”: Among active markets with cycles shorter than 1 day, 63.16% of contracts have zero trading volume in 24 hours.
Crypto short-term liquidity shortage: The average trading volume of short-term sports markets (1.32 million USD) is 30 times that of crypto markets (440,000 USD), indicating a lack of capital support for crypto short-term predictions.
Extreme head effect: Only 505 super contracts with trading volume exceeding 10 million USD (extremely low proportion), yet they monopolize 47% of the total platform’s trading volume.
Large capital prefers long-term: The average liquidity of long-term predictions (>30 days) is 45 times that of single-day markets, with US politics leading at 28.17 million USD in average volume.
Geopolitical rise: This sector’s active proportion reaches 29.7%, becoming the fastest-growing track.
The data indicates that Polymarket is differentiating into a “high-frequency sports casino” and “macro-political hedge,” with liquidity highly concentrated in a handful of top narratives.
PANewsデータ：Polymarketの短期市場の63%は24時間0取引、505の主要なコントラクトが全取引量の47%を占める
PANews January 8 News: PANews recently analyzed historical market data from 295,000 markets on the Polymarket platform. The data shows:
Over 60% of short-term markets become “zombies”: Among active markets with cycles shorter than 1 day, 63.16% of contracts have zero trading volume in 24 hours.
Crypto short-term liquidity shortage: The average trading volume of short-term sports markets (1.32 million USD) is 30 times that of crypto markets (440,000 USD), indicating a lack of capital support for crypto short-term predictions.
Extreme head effect: Only 505 super contracts with trading volume exceeding 10 million USD (extremely low proportion), yet they monopolize 47% of the total platform’s trading volume.
Large capital prefers long-term: The average liquidity of long-term predictions (>30 days) is 45 times that of single-day markets, with US politics leading at 28.17 million USD in average volume.
Geopolitical rise: This sector’s active proportion reaches 29.7%, becoming the fastest-growing track.
The data indicates that Polymarket is differentiating into a “high-frequency sports casino” and “macro-political hedge,” with liquidity highly concentrated in a handful of top narratives.