According to today's market analysis and market dynamics (April 15, 2025), Ethereum (ETH)'s short-term strategy can be based on range-bound shocks and key breakout signals, combined with technical aspects, on-chain data and market sentiment. Here are some suggestions for specific strategies:

1. Range Oscillation Strategy
Current range: ETH is currently priced around $1,623 - $1,641, within the fluctuation range of $1,600 - $1,700. The upper resistance level is at $1,700 (200-day moving average resistance), while the lower support level is between $1,580 - $1,600.
Operation Suggestions:
Long Position: If the price retraces to the support zone of 1,580-1,600 USD and stabilizes, showing bullish signals (such as a long lower shadow with increased trading volume or a bullish engulfing pattern), one can enter with a light position, targeting 1,650-1,700 USD, with a stop loss set below 1,550 USD.
Short Selling: If the price rebounds to the resistance zone of $1,670-$1,700 and shows a topping pattern (such as a long upper shadow or MACD divergence), you can consider a short position, with a target of $1,600-$1,620 and a stop loss set above $1,720.
2. Breakthrough Follow-up Strategy
Breakout: If the ETH price closes above $1,700 on the daily chart, accompanied by an increase in trading volume (more than 20% compared to the previous day), it is considered a valid breakout, and one can go long with a target of $1,750-$1,800, setting a stop loss below $1,620.
Downward breakout: If the price falls below the support level of 1,580 USD, it may accelerate the correction to 1,550 USD or even lower. At this point, short positions can be considered, targeting 1,500-1,450 USD, with a stop loss set above 1,600 USD.
3. Relative Strength Strategy (ETH/BTC exchange rate)
Current exchange rate: ETH/BTC remains at a low of 0.0192-0.0193, indicating that ETH is performing weaker than BTC in the short term.
Operational Ideas:
If the exchange rate continues to decline (for example, falls below 0.019), consider shorting the ETH/BTC ratio when ETH rebounds to $1,670-$1,700, with a target of 0.018 and a stop loss set above 0.020.
If the exchange rate stabilizes and rebounds, it is necessary to combine ETH's own breakout signals to determine the long position opportunities.
4. Market Risks and Catalysts
bearish factors
Institutional capital outflow: Ethereum ETF fund flow stagnation (e.g., Grayscale ETHE fund zero inflow), insufficient institutional interest.
Shorting tools are active: the inverse Ethereum ETF (such as ProShares ETHD) has risen by 247% this year, and leveraged short pressure may intensify.
Bullish factors:
Expected Network Upgrade: The Ethereum Prague/Electra upgrade is approaching, which may drive a medium-term price increase.
On-chain data improvement: In Q1, Ethereum dApp fee revenue exceeded 1 billion USD, ranking first among public chains, with a solid long-term fundamental.
5. Risk Control and Position Management
Position suggestion: Keep total position control between 30%-50%, with individual transaction risk not exceeding 3% of total funds.
Stop-loss discipline: Strictly set stop-loss levels to avoid extreme fluctuations (such as the liquidity risk of altcoins triggered by the flash crash of the OM token).
Macroeconomic Focus: The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut expectations (68% probability in June) and the potential volatility of U.S. stock earnings season may transmit to the cryptocurrency market.
Summary
Today, Ethereum is primarily in a volatile market, with a focus on the effectiveness of the $1,700 resistance level and the $1,580 support level. Breakout trading requires volume confirmation, and range trading should flexibly respond to market sentiment changes. Long-term investors may pay attention to network upgrade progress and improvements in on-chain ecological data for mid-term opportunities, but should be wary of short-term bearish pressure and regulatory dynamics (such as the SEC postponing the review of Ethereum ETF staking). #ETH #近期热币