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This week's market faces a critical test. Tonight's US Non-Farm Payrolls, Thursday's CPI report, and Friday's Bank of Japan interest rate decision are three major events that will occur in quick succession within just a few days.
Why pay special attention to this week? Simply put, starting next week, the US will gradually enter the Christmas holiday season, and market activity will significantly decline, with news flow also slowing down. This means that this week could be the most concentrated period of news before the end of the year, with the highest potential for sharp volatility.
From a macro perspective, these three data points directly impact the US dollar trend and global liquidity expectations, which in turn influence the performance of risk assets like Bitcoin. US employment data, inflation indicators, and Japan's monetary policy adjustments—each could serve as a trigger igniting market sentiment.
Storms are always particularly quiet before they arrive, but once the data is released, a single candlestick can rewrite the short-term trend. Seizing the opportunities this week and understanding the underlying logic are the foundations of prudent trading.