#美国就业数据表现强劲超出预期 Bloomberg analyst McGlone has issued a new prediction—Bitcoin could drop to $10,000 by 2026.

This guy compares BTC to the US stock market before the 2008 financial crisis, arguing that the post-inflation era has arrived and high-risk speculative assets will be cleansed. It sounds quite alarming.

But that’s the magic of the crypto world. Whenever such extreme bearish forecasts appear, the market’s script is usually the same: first, a panic sell-off, with the most vocal bears shouting loudly, then… the market suddenly reverses, catching the bears off guard. Why? Because extreme emotions often mark the turning point.

McGlone’s track record of predicting Bitcoin crashes is almost as long as BTC itself. Every time he calls for a collapse, the market either consolidates or rebounds. Calling him an accurate contrarian indicator isn’t an overstatement.

Look at the current situation:

BTC is oscillating around 89k, down about 30% from the high of 126k at the beginning of the year, with the annual gain turning negative. ETF net inflows are slowing, and the Fed’s rate cut expectations have been cooled down. Global liquidity is tightening, and market sentiment is noticeably cold.

However, from a short-term technical perspective, when such extreme pessimism is widespread, the probability of a rebound is quite high. The key support level is at 88k; if it holds, a retest of the 94k-95k resistance zone is highly likely, and pushing up to $100,000 isn’t impossible. But if 88k breaks, the bears might have a party for a while.

As for whether BTC will soar to 200k or drop to 10k in 2026, honestly, no one is certain. The institutions are divided—some bullish, some bearish, some just watching. Essentially, this is a game of probabilities.

The key point is: don’t let any institution or analyst’s narrative hijack your judgment. Listening to different viewpoints can broaden your perspective, but when it comes to real money, you have to manage your own risks. $BTC