#美国就业数据表现强劲超出预期 Yesterday's unemployment data unexpectedly surged beyond expectations, reaching a four-year high. The market is highly perceptive, and many funds have already started to anticipate risks and retreat to avoid danger.

The real test is still to come. There are two key events this week, any one of which could trigger a market wave—

Tomorrow night at 9:30, the CPI data will be announced. If it exceeds expectations? That’s bearish. If it’s below expectations? That’s bullish. The reaction will be very direct.

On Friday, the Bank of Japan’s interest rate decision. A 70% chance of a 25 basis point hike, which is in line with market expectations, and the price has already reacted (recent decline is due to this). But if a black swan occurs, and the hike doubles to 50 basis points (30% probability), BTC could sharply dip below $82,000.

The closer we get to these two events, the more vulnerable BTC appears. Market panic could be amplified infinitely, likely breaking through $85,000. Conversely, if the CPI signals positive news, coupled with the Japanese rate hike, the rebound momentum could push above $90,000—it's not a dream.

The most prone to issues in volatile markets—don’t be hijacked by panic, impulsive selling is the least worthwhile. At the same time, reserve ammunition so that when the black swan truly lands, you’ll have the confidence to buy the dip. Stop overthinking; anxiety won’t change the market. Stay calm and let the data speak.