BTC, ETH Evening Follow-up Trend Forecast

1. BTC: Driven by positive CPI data, it surged to 88585, then retraced to 87982.3 with oscillation, with a daily increase of over 2700 points. After the surge, it pulled back but did not break below 87500, and the bullish trend remains dominant.
2. ETH: Simultaneously surged to 2929, then retraced to 2910.45 for consolidation, with a daily increase of nearly 110 points. Its elasticity is significantly higher than BTC, with a smaller pullback after the high, indicating stronger bullish momentum.
3. Volume and Rhythm: After the data release, both saw volume expansion and rally. During the pullback phase, volume quickly shrank, indicating that funds are not panicking and fleeing, but only short-term profit-taking.

BTC Trend Forecast

Likely Scenario: Tonight, it will oscillate around the 87800-88200 range. If it stabilizes above 88000, it will test the high of 88585 again, and after breaking through, it may reach the 89500-90000 range.

Unlikely Scenario: If it falls below the 87500 support, it will retest 87000-86500. This range is a consolidation platform before the data-driven rally, with relatively strong support.

ETH Trend Forecast

Likely Scenario: Tonight, it will oscillate and consolidate between 2900-2920. After stabilizing above 2915, it will attempt to reach the 2929 high, and after breaking through, it may target 2975-2995.
Unlikely Scenario: If it drops below 2890, it will retest 2875-2855, with a low probability of breaking below.

Risk Reminder:
1. Beware of short-term reversals where “positive data leads to buy expectations but selling reality,” especially if volume suddenly increases after a surge and prices quickly fall back, requiring immediate position reduction and profit-taking.
2. Watch the US stock market closing trend. If tech stocks experience significant volatility, it will influence cryptocurrency prices, requiring flexible adjustment of stop-loss and take-profit points.
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