As of 2025-12-22 16:00 (UTC+8), SOL is currently priced at 125.10 USD, with a 24h fluctuation of 123.64-126.42 USD, showing weak oscillation. In the short-term, a rebound is expected but needs to break through for confirmation.

1. Key Price Levels (Support/Resistance)

• First support: 123.5 USD (24h low + recent fluctuation lower edge), if broken, look for second support at 120.0 USD (daily MA30)

• First resistance: 126.5 USD (24h high + previous high on hourly chart), breaking upwards looks at second resistance 129.0 USD (daily MA10)

• Key boundary: 125.0 USD, stabilizing bullish, losing ground bearish

2. Interpretation of Multi-Period Indicators

• Daily: RSI≈42 (Neutral), MACD bars weaken, double lines converge, no clear trend; price is between MA30 (120) - MA10 (129), volume shrinks, mainly fluctuating.

• 4 hours: The Bollinger Bands are narrowing, the price is near the middle band, KDJ is turning up from a low position, there is a short-term demand for a Rebound, but the trading volume is insufficient, and the strength is limited.

• 2 hours: EMA5/10 intertwined, price moves flat along the middle track, oscillating slightly bullish, a breakout above 126.5 is needed to confirm a strong reversal.

Three, Trading Strategies (Executable)

1. Bullish Strategy

◦ Opening position: Stabilize and go long when it pulls back to 123.8-124.2 USD, stop loss at 122.8 USD (breaking 123.5 support)

◦ Target: First target 126.5 USD (reduce position by 50%), second target 129.0 USD (remaining take profit)

◦ Trigger: Close above 126.5 for 4 hours with increased volume, add position looking at 129

2. Short Selling Strategy

◦ Open position: Short on the rebound to 126.3-126.7 USD, stop loss at 127.2 USD (break 126.5 resistance)

◦ Target: First target 124.0 USD (reduce position by 50%), second target 123.0 USD (remaining take profit)

◦ Trigger: Close below 123.5 for 2 hours with increased volume, add position to look for 120

3. Watch-and-wait conditions

• The price is fluctuating narrowly in the range of 124-126, with the trading volume being less than 70% of the 24-hour average volume. Observing, waiting for the breakout direction.

IV. Risk Warning

• Market fluctuation (BTC/ETH weakening) may trigger a correlated decline, turning bearish below 123.5.

• If it breaks through 126.5 but the volume is insufficient, be wary of a false breakout and take profit or cut losses in time.
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