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#BTC资金流动性 The holiday liquidity is tightening, which is a good time for adjustment. The U.S. stock market is closed these days, and the market trading volume has noticeably shrunk, but to be honest, there haven't been any new unfavourable information recently. Large institutions have also changed their stance — the previous wave of reducing positions has passed, and recently they have gradually been increasing their holdings in major coins. The decline in mid-October indeed hurt a lot of people's confidence, and to regain that confidence, we still need to wait for favourable information from the policy side. However, the overall direction for next year still looks bullish, and we should be able to see the market maker's true intentions after the holiday.
Don't be too pessimistic in the short term. This week, Bitcoin主要在8.6到9.1之间反复, friends doing swing trading should keep an eye on this range. Be careful, as the holiday means fewer people, and market makers can easily take advantage of low liquidity, so don't be scared off by a quick spike after a break of support. Therefore, it's best to just add stop losses or simply trade with light positions and repeatedly do averaging, the key is to control the position size. Personally, I tend to lean towards being bullish, feeling that the short-term bottom is around here. As long as the holiday doesn't break the current support, rebounds after a drop are usually quite fierce—if liquidity accumulates enough, once the market maker starts liquidating, the speed can be frightening. I'm looking upwards this time.
**Bitcoin Strategy**: Aggressive short position around 87800, reduce position if it rises 400 points, if the pullback is slow, just run directly. The conservative approach is to add to the short at 88300, with a stop-loss above 88500. The cautious plan is to place a short order at 89500, which is unlikely to hit during the day, with a stop-loss of 500 points and a take-profit target of 1000 points. Long positions are set around 87000, buy if it drops below 86000, with a stop-loss of 500 points and a take-profit of 1000 points. The extreme target is to bottom-fish at 2830.
**Ethereum Strategy**: Aggressive short at 2970, stop loss 15 points, take profit 30 points. Conservative short at 3000, same stop loss 15 points, take profit 30 points. The extreme short can be tested around 3033. Long positions mainly at 2930 for bottom fishing, after breaking out can place orders at 2900, stop loss 10 points, take profit 30 points. Steady long positions placed at 2870, stop loss 15 points to gamble on the real bottom. The extreme bottom looks at 2805.
**SOL Strategy**: Buy more at 120.6, stop loss 1 point, take profit 2 points, extreme bottom fishing at 118. Short near 124.7, stop loss 1 point, reduce position to aim for 2 points. Extreme short at 127.5, stop loss 1 point, take profit 2 points.
Remember, in an environment like the holiday, it's better to miss out than to get trapped. $BTC $ETH $SOL