"When will the fake coin season be,老师? I don't want to miss the doubling opportunities again!" Recently, such comments have surged. Seeing these, I feel both the anxiety of missing out on market moves and the helplessness that everyone only rushes to find solutions after the fact. Actually, the fake coin season won't come suddenly; the market has long laid out a bunch of signals, and the key is that you need to understand them. I have summarized three hardcore indicators over 10 years, and today I want to share them with you to help you spot the opportunities of the fake coin season in advance.

Let's start with the core idea: the fake coin season is triggered by the simultaneous resonance of three forces—funds, sentiment, and trend. Many people make the mistake of only watching price fluctuations, thinking "if it rises, the fake coin season has arrived," and then get caught when they jump in. Why? Because they haven't figured out how these three factors interact with each other.

First, look at the first indicator—mainstream assets stabilize, and altcoins catch up. This is the most basic and reliable signal. When the market's mainstream coins no longer hit new lows, stabilize within a certain range, or even rise slowly, it's time to pay close attention to altcoins. The logic of big funds is clear: first, they position themselves in mainstream assets; once these stabilize, they shift their funds into undervalued and more elastic altcoins. This is the preheating phase of the fake coin season. Take ARB as an example: it only truly started after the mainstream assets stabilized for two weeks, initially with small increases, and then gradually expanded volume.

You need to study this approach repeatedly, and when combined with the other two indicators, you can judge the timing more accurately. Relying on just one indicator is meaningless; multiple dimensions must be verified together.