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As 2025 comes to an end, it hasn't been an easy year for many in the crypto world. Looking back, few have truly exited completely and made money.
Remember the period from July to August 2025, when major players sold over 100,000 BTC within the range of 112,000 to 118,000 yuan, getting stuck at relatively high levels. And what about retail investors? Still dreaming that BTC could surge above 140,000.
Comparing with other markets makes it clear. Most people who traded A-shares, gold, silver, and US stocks in 2025 made profits. But retail investors operating in the virtual currency space lost most of their money. This is no coincidence; the cruelty of the crypto world is at least 100 times higher than the stock market.
Looking ahead to 2026. Based on current data, the US stock market is expected to rise another 10 to 15 percent from its 2025 high. But the story in the crypto world will be different. The 2026 market trend may resemble 2018—that year, during the World Cup, BTC also had room to grow. But breaking through the 126,000 mark in 2025? That will be very difficult.
Even more heartbreaking are altcoins. The tokenization trend in US stocks will attract a large amount of capital, making it even harder for altcoins to return to their historical highs. In 2026, global funds and enthusiasm will be divided among US stock AI sectors, major events, and US stock prediction sectors. Don’t expect the same bottoming-out and rebound opportunities like in April 2025.
What the crypto world truly needs is a thorough deep-squat adjustment, giving everyone a chance to buy the dip and turn things around. Consolidation and volatility are the most frustrating.
2026 is approaching. Crypto friends, keep going. Don’t panic during big drops, don’t be greedy during big rises, and stay rational.