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December 31 BTC/ETH Analysis:
Year-end finale, the closing of the old year, this day marks the end of the past year and the beginning of a new chapter.
On the last day of 2025, last night's Federal Reserve meeting once again was a game of Tai Chi, failing to break the sideways pattern. On the contrary, major on-chain fund withdrawals surged, with 3,451 BTC continuously flowing out over 24 hours. The already weak market worsened further. As the monthly candle closes soon, everyone should protect their positions!
BTC
Currently, the short-term moving averages are entangled and flattening out. The market shows some minor rebound demand, but decreasing volume limits upward momentum. A retracement that does not break below 8,780 on a smaller timeframe could still see another rebound. Keep an eye on this. The daily chart shows long upper shadows with decreasing highs, indicating a choppy market with primary and secondary trends—long candles and short candles!
Within the range of 8,930-8,980, the target is to look below 8,780 for a move toward 8,660-8,520.
ETH
The trend is basically the same. Watch for support at 2,950. If this level holds, the small timeframe rebound will continue. Be ready to take light positions here.
Within the range of 2,995-3,018, the target is to look below 2,950 for a move toward 2,920-2,886.
Short-term trading should be flexible and adaptable. Defensive strategies depend on your actual position!