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As of 14:00 on December 31, 2025, SOL is experiencing short-term weak fluctuations with an unclear direction; the core range is $122–125. Before the annual line closes, trading will mainly be within the range and cautious, with strict position control.
Core Market (as of 14:00)
- Price: approximately $123.5, a slight 0.4% decline in 24H, with reduced volume and oscillation, liquidity is low at year-end
- Main trend: Daily chart is suppressed by EMA30, with a bearish moving average alignment, MACD shows a death cross, bearish dominance
- Rhythm: 4-hour MACD bearish bars are shortening, no golden cross; RSI is neutral (around 42); moving averages are intertwined, indicating a balance between bulls and bears
- Volume: 24H trading is sluggish, funds are cautious, easily disturbed by large orders
Key Price Levels (USD)
- Resistance: $124.5–125.0 (short-term), $126–128 (strong resistance, yesterday’s high + upper boundary of the range); if it stabilizes above 125 with increased volume, it may test $130+
- Support: $122.0–122.5 (short-term, today’s low), $120.0–121.0 (strong support, previous platform); if it breaks below 122 with increased volume, it may drop to $118–120
Bull and Bear Scenarios
- Bull: Close above 124.5 on the 4-hour chart, volume increases to break through 125, continuation of rebound, target $126–128
- Bear: Break below 121 with increased volume, accelerate downward to $120–121, further down to $118–115
- Consolidation: With decreasing volume, likely to range between 122–125 until close
Trading Recommendations
1. Short-term: Range trading, lightly long at 122–122.5 with stop-loss at 120.5; lightly short at 124.5–125 with stop-loss at 126; quick in and out, strict position control (≤20%)
2. Swing: Mainly observe, wait for volume breakout above 125 or breakdown below 122 before following the trend
3. Risk Management: Year-end liquidity is poor, slippage risk is high, avoid heavy overnight positions; monitor options expiry and hedging that may trigger volatility