The warning signals in the investment community are becoming more urgent. The veteran analyst who accurately predicted the 2008 crash has recently issued a bold prediction: 2026 is very likely to become the "worst" year in financial crisis history. More notably, he has already taken concrete actions—clearing out US stock positions and heavily accumulating gold and silver.



This is not alarmism. The connection between the crypto market and traditional finance has become so tight that it’s almost inseparable. Once the storm hits, there will be very limited room to escape. But this is not doomsday talk; understanding the risks is the key to finding solutions.

**Two Chains Binding the Market**

The first is the dependence of stablecoins on US Treasuries. Currently, the global stablecoin market has surpassed $260 billion, with almost all of these tokens backed by US government bonds. The problem is, US debt has ballooned to over $37 trillion, with annual interest payments exceeding the defense budget. This number continues to worsen. If the creditworthiness of US Treasuries cracks, the foundation of stablecoin credibility will shake, and liquidity in the crypto market could be rapidly drained, leaving no buyers when assets are sold.

The second is the synchronization between Bitcoin and US stocks. Data shows that their correlation has reached near-historical highs. What does this mean? When US stocks decline, Bitcoin struggles to move independently, and the idea of Bitcoin rising against the trend is as fanciful as a pipe dream.

**Practical Strategies to Respond**

Based on years of market observation, there are several proven approaches:

First, prioritize cash liquidity, but don’t convert everything into USD and hoard it. During a crisis, the most valuable asset isn’t tokens or stocks, but cash that can be mobilized at any time. However, a common misconception is that many people will sell all their crypto assets upon hearing this. In reality, a smarter approach is to maintain a certain proportion of stablecoins and USD reserves to handle sudden opportunities and liquidity needs.

Second, review how much of your assets are influenced by US debt. Stablecoins, US stocks, and funds related to US debt are part of this. If these assets constitute too high a proportion, adjusting the ratio can effectively reduce systemic risk.

Third, focus on asset classes with lower correlation to traditional finance. While achieving complete decoupling is difficult in the current environment, seeking investments with weaker correlations remains an effective way to diversify risk.

This potential financial storm isn’t something to simply avoid; it requires a clearer perspective on market structure. Making rational decisions based on a full understanding of risks is essential. Crypto market participants shouldn’t passively wait; proactive awareness and moderate adjustments are the right approach.
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MetaMiseryvip
· 11h ago
It's another story from 2026... Sounds more unbelievable than Elon Musk's bragging.
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ChainWallflowervip
· 11h ago
Here we go again with the 2026 crisis theory. Every year someone predicts the end of the world, I'm already numb to it. But saying that stablecoins are tied to US bonds does have some truth... I suspect that by then, will USDC just blow up? Hoarding gold to dodge the US stock market? Old story. The key is that liquidity is so poor right now, what's the point of switching? I also noticed that Bitcoin is moving in sync with US stocks. Can't even rebound independently when trying to bottom fish, so frustrating. Instead of blindly adjusting, it's better to just hodl. Anyway, you can't run away. Wait, this logic seems flawed? One moment saying cash is the most valuable, then saying not to fully clear your positions... who should I listen to... Forget it, I'll just keep half in stablecoins and half in BTC, whatever. What’s coming will come anyway, stressing out early is useless.
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WalletDoomsDayvip
· 11h ago
Can 2026 be calculated? This guy is really outrageous. Stablecoins are just puppets of US bonds; they will burst sooner or later. BTC is tightly bound to US stocks; if you want to rise independently, you might as well wash and sleep. All in cash is just anxiety; holding some cash is the way to go. I only keep 30% in stablecoins waiting for opportunities, since I have plenty of idle money. Bitcoin being synchronized with US stocks is so true... there's no escaping it. US debt has already reached 37 trillion and interest rates are still rising; who dares to take this on? The key is to find those obscure coins, unrelated to traditional finance. Rather than predicting all day, it's better to learn how to survive and get through it. They nailed it back in 2008; listening this time won't hurt either.
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QuorumVotervip
· 11h ago
2026? I sold early, now I'm just stacking gold.
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