Have you ever thought about it? An exchange is actually a probability machine—it's all about whether you can operate it like a casino boss.

When I entered the crypto space in 2017, I only had $5,000 USD in capital. People around me were mortgage their houses after contract liquidations, while my principal drawdown over five years never exceeded 8%, and my account curve was always trending upward at a 45° angle. No insider information, noirdrops, and I don’t believe in K-line mysticism—just three methods based on probability to make a living.

**Method 1: Lock in profits with compound interest, insure every cent of profit**

Place both take-profit and stop-loss orders simultaneously when entering a trade. As soon as profits reach 10% of the principal, immediately transfer half to a cold wallet, and use this "free profit" to roll into new positions.

If the market continues to rise, you earn compound interest; if it turns around, you only give back at most half of your profits—your principal remains safe forever. Over five years, I’ve taken profits 37 times, with the largest single withdrawal being $180,000 USD in one week. I was even subjected to a video review by exchange customer service, worried I was laundering money. These stable large withdrawals speak volumes.

**Method 2: Displaced position building, find signals from liquidation points**

Monitor daily, 4-hour, and 15-minute charts simultaneously. The daily chart shows the overall direction, the 4-hour defines the active range, and the 15-minute chart handles precise entries.

Open two orders on the same coin: A order chasing breakout with a stop-loss at the previous low on the daily chart; B order using limit orders to short in the overbought zone on the 4-hour chart. Keep both stop-losses within 1.5% of the principal, and set take-profits at over 5 times.

Most of the market time is oscillation—this is your harvesting time. When Luna collapsed in 2022 with a 90% drop in 24 hours, my long and short positions both took profits, and my account gained 42% in a single day. During choppy markets, others get liquidated, but you profit from both directions.

**Method 3: Use stop-loss as an entry ticket, exchange small losses for big gains**

Think of stop-loss as the cost of entry. A small risk of 1.5% is the fee to get into the game. When the market is favorable, move your take-profit to let profits run; when it turns bad, exit promptly.

My long-term stats are like this: a win rate of only 38%, but a profit-to-loss ratio of 4.8:1. For every dollar risked, I average a profit of $1.90—mathematical expectation is always positive. Just catching two trend waves a year can yield returns surpassing most financial products.

**Three details you must not ignore in practice:**

Divide your capital into 10 parts, use at most 1 part per trade, and never hold more than 3 positions simultaneously. After two consecutive losses, shut down and go to the gym—don’t think about opening a "revenge trade" to recover—this is the path to liquidation. Also, double your account every time it doubles, then withdraw 20% to allocate to US bonds or gold, so you have security during bear markets.

In the end, all methods are simple; what’s hard is executing against human nature. Exchanges don’t fear your wrong judgments—they fear you can’t recover after a liquidation. Manage risk well, let probability work for you—that’s the entire secret to transforming from a trader into a trading platform.