2026-01-01 18:21:59

In half a year, turning 10,000 USDT into 140,000 USDT, I've stepped on more than eighty pitfalls along the way. Only later did I realize that making money never relies on luck; it’s all about the feel developed from watching the charts.

Trading may seem mysterious, but it’s actually a craft. Watching K-lines daily, analyzing capital flows, studying the main forces’ tactics—over time, you naturally get the hang of it. Today, I’ll share six core insights, and mastering even one of them can help you avoid many pitfalls.

**First: Rapid rises with slow corrections and multiple shakeouts—don’t rush to cut losses.** When the price jumps up and then gradually drifts downward, it’s usually the main force shaking out筹码. True top formations often look like this—after a huge volume spike, a sudden sharp decline leaves no time for reaction.

**Second: No strength in rebound after a sharp decline—never bottom fish in panic.** After a big drop, small incremental rises indicate funds are fleeing. Don’t get caught up thinking “it’s reversing,” as nine out of ten times you’ll get trapped.

**Third: High volume at the top still has potential, but low volume is a big problem.** Volume at the top suggests ongoing tug-of-war; a sudden drop in trading volume signals the main force retreating.

**Fourth: Don’t get overly excited by single-day volume surges at the bottom—continuity is the real signal.** Isolated volume spikes are often traps to lure in buyers; only after a period of consolidation with sustained volume does it become a genuine accumulation signal.

**Fifth: Volume is more straightforward than K-lines.** K-lines are surface phenomena; volume truly reflects market pulse. When volume is low, the market is sleeping; when volume surges, opportunities surface. Pay close attention to every change in volume—this can help you anticipate market moves half a beat ahead of others.

**Sixth: Holding no position is also a skill, and a top-tier ability.** Rest when needed, act decisively when the time comes—don’t chase highs, panic sell, or operate recklessly. It sounds simple, but few can truly do it.

The crypto world is raining every day, and opportunities are everywhere. But what’s truly scarce is the discipline to see through the market’s patterns. You’re not incapable of learning trading; you just haven’t aligned your approach yet. Watch the charts more, review your trades more—then you’ll naturally understand the rhythm of the market.

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HalfPositionRunner

· 56m ago

It's another story born from watching the market obsessively; they all sound the same. I damn well hate the saying "being out of the market is a form of cultivation." What true cultivation is, is being forced to stay out because you have no money, alright? The idea of slowly accumulating and shaking out traders is real; I've fallen into countless traps and finally understood this. Out of the six points, the fifth one is interesting; volume really can't be fooled. Talking about 140,000 in half a year sounds outrageous, I believe it halfway, but those eighty traps are real—100%.

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WhaleMinion

· 6h ago

Relying on watching the market to develop a feel for trading, this statement is truly spot on. A 14-fold increase in half a year, no one would believe it if I said it haha. The trading volume has indeed been overlooked by most people; candlestick charts are just a cover. It's another period of holding a vacant position for self-discipline. Hearing this, I know I'll be caught again. It sounds nice, but when it comes to bottom-fishing, I still can't control my hands. The second point really hit home for me; I am the one who has been caught nine times this way. It looks simple, but sticking to a short position is really difficult. With so many tricks from the main players, how can ordinary people see through them? I believe that making money doesn't rely on luck, but I'm just worried I don't have the resolve for that. Watching the market isn't wrong; I'm just afraid of developing a sickness from it.

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SatoshiHeir

· 6h ago

It should be pointed out that this theoretical framework has fundamental logical flaws. Let's return to the core of market microstructure thinking: volume indeed reflects capital flow, but the author has absolutized it. According to research in behavioral finance, retail traders' decision success rates based on a single volume indicator do not significantly outperform random strategies — this is no coincidence, but an inevitable result of cognitive biases. Secondly, the "holding cash as a practice" sounds very Zen, but on-chain data shows that the compounded returns of long-term cash holders are often lower than those of a regular dollar-cost averaging (DCA) strategy. The discipline you mention essentially involves selectively forgetting those 35x gains missed out on. The last point worth discussing is — this methodology applies to stockpile battles in a bear market but often fails in a bull market with increasing inflows of funds. During the 2021 rally, many people missed the entire cycle because they were waiting for a "continuous volume confirmation signal." The crypto world indeed rains every day, but you teach how to avoid the rain, while I care about who is causing the rain.

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retroactive_airdrop

· 6h ago

Another article titled "I Made N Times" with the same old tricks. It sounds profound, but how many people can really achieve a complete cash position? 14 times in half a year? Sure, but who hasn't made money in this bull market? I've heard the theory of K-line volume analysis before; the key is that predictions are never that accurate, right? Staring at the screen to develop a feel for when to act, I believe that, but I've also experienced painful losses from it. Stop talking about willpower; honestly, it's just good luck to catch the right market. Volume analysis is indeed interesting; I'll focus on it next time. Mastering one strategy thoroughly is enough to break even? Then I should be making a fortune now. Everything you said is correct, but in practice, it's all traps, I feel the same way. I need to engrain the phrase "Complete cash position cultivation" into my mind.

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NftMetaversePainter

· 6h ago

ngl the whole "volume is the real pulse" thesis here actually aligns with what i've been exploring in my generative trading algorithm series... the aesthetic computation of order flow patterns, y'know? fascinating how price action is just surface-level noise when you map it through the hash values of real capital movement. most traders are still stuck in the web2 mindset of chasing candles lol

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StablecoinSkeptic

· 6h ago

Is this the same old story? Sixteen times in half a year and no one has been taxed? --- Holding no position is indeed a skill, but most people are just afraid of being trapped and holding no position. --- The ones who really fall into the trap never neatly summarize six points; they are all asking about ancestors in the liquidation group. --- Volume can be the cruelest deceiver. I've seen both massive surges with no volume and huge sell-offs, but honestly, it still comes down to luck. --- This logic makes no mistake; why are people still losing money even when they follow it? --- The feeling of trading by staring at the screen is just psychological conditioning. Ultimately, it still comes down to betting on the right direction.

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NotSatoshi

· 6h ago

You're not wrong, but I think the most crucial part is the discipline of staying out of the market; it's really too difficult to achieve.

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