2026-01-02 20:20:18

Having navigated the crypto world for many years, I’d like to share some of my views on this year's market trends.

First, let's talk about the first quarter. The probability of Bitcoin reaching new highs is quite high, based on my analysis of historical cycles. But be aware — the World Cup will attract a large influx of social capital into sports and entertainment sectors, and the crypto market may experience a "blood draw," potentially leading to a wave of adjustments. This is a short-term rhythm.

After the World Cup ends, the situation will reverse. A lot of capital will look for new investment outlets, and due to the unique nature of the crypto market, it will once again become a magnet for incremental funds. At that time, Bitcoin is expected to continue its upward trend, following the cycle of "in — out — back in."

By the third quarter, Bitcoin and altcoins are likely to experience the last major surge of the year. This is the final window within the overall cycle, with concentrated energy.

So, the strategy for the first quarter is simple — hold steady. Don’t leave regrets; hold firmly what you believe in. Mainstream coins like Ethereum require patience. Prepare mentally — the market will come.

BTC1.73%

ETH3.44%

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CountdownToBroke

· 8h ago

Comments on the bankruptcy countdown: I believe in the World Cup blood draw trick, but really holding steady is truly difficult... The impulsive party expresses envy. --- Holding steady and mental preparation, in plain terms, it's just gambling. --- Third quarter peak? Let's survive the second quarter first, haha. --- This logic sounds pretty smooth, but I don't know who can really hold on until the third quarter. --- Holding steady is easy; mental preparation is the real hell mode.

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WhaleWatcher

· 8h ago

The World Cup blood draw is interesting, but I feel like the vampiric power of sports entertainment is still overrated. The money in the crypto circle has long been the money of insiders. Still the same advice: in the first quarter, just two words—buy the dip. Ethereum is holding steady, don’t fumble. Can this round reach a climax in the third quarter? Honestly, I’m not too convinced, but I trust that holding what you have won’t be a loss. According to your logic, you should go all-in right now.

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ForkTongue

· 8h ago

It's always the same argument of "just hold steady." Why do I always feel this explanation sounds a bit familiar... I did think about the blood draw during the World Cup, but relying on cycle-based predictions is really gambling. Waiting to see how Bitcoin plays out. If this round really goes as hoped, I'll celebrate with eight meals. Hmm, I agree with holding mainstream coins, but patience really tests people. Is the probability of hitting a new high "quite high"? Do you have data to support that? Whether the market goes up or down, no one can say for sure... Anyway, I'm already prepared to be trapped. Feels like this logical cycle is too perfect, a bit too smooth. Holding steady is right, but what's more important is having a strong psychological mindset.

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ExpectationFarmer

· 8h ago

I didn't think of the blood test during the World Cup before, but it sounds a bit far-fetched... Could it be that my retail friends would really cut their losses just to watch the game? Haha Holding steady, I agree, but I don't know how long I can hold on Wait, what does the third quarter climax refer to? Or do we have to wait until next year again? This logic is a bit like what big traders say, but I have to admit, I like hearing this kind of analysis, it gives hope I believe Bitcoin will break new highs, but I'm a bit worried about Ethereum, brother

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SolidityNewbie

· 8h ago

It's the same "come in - go out - come in again" logic. Heard it once last year, still going this year? But to be fair, that wave of bloodletting during the World Cup was indeed a bit harsh, gotta watch out. Hold steady and it's all good, anyway I can't run away. After hearing about this cycle for so long, just take it as a story, anyway holding is holding. May I ask when the big guys think the real window period will be? Hopefully it won't be another set of excuses then. Does Ethereum really require patience? I'm almost out of patience haha. The climax of the third quarter, so let's block this one, after all, it's all gambling.

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