2026-01-02 20:32:03

Bitcoin's track record tells an interesting story—historically, the first quarter averages a solid 47.6% return. That's a pretty compelling seasonal pattern if the data holds up. With Q1 2026 just around the corner, the million-dollar question becomes: will Bitcoin replicate this performance, or are we looking at a different market dynamic this time around? What's your take—do seasonal trends still matter in today's market, or are we past that game?

BTC0.67%

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NoodlesOrTokens

· 12h ago

47.6% Sounds appealing, but I feel like every time someone uses historical data to make a point, they end up getting proven wrong... --- Q1 The number looks good, but the question is who can actually make a profit? --- Seasonality? Ha, it's probably been overused by bots already. --- Will history repeat itself... feels like this time is different. --- Honestly, 47.6% is outrageous, especially with this year's bizarre market conditions. --- Is seasonality still useful? Maybe no one believes in that anymore. --- Year after year, the same old dreams... --- Good data, reality check, same old tricks.

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PanicSeller

· 12h ago

47.6%? That sounds too good to be true, I'm scared, better to stay on the sidelines and observe first --- Is this seasonal pattern still effective on the chain? Anyway, I don't believe it anymore --- It's the same old tune of history repeating itself, but the question is, will it really be the same this time? --- Q1 doubling dream... Forget it, I'll wait for the price to drop before talking --- The data looks good, but when it comes to the market, you still have to adapt and respond flexibly --- Relying on seasonality to make money? Just listen, don't really believe this crap --- Historical averages ≠ guaranteed results, why do we have to keep explaining this? --- Is 47.6% a pie in the sky or a trap? Who dares to bet?

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WhaleWatcher

· 12h ago

47.6%? Sounds good, but this data was cherry-picked... I bet this year will be a crash.

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MetaNeighbor

· 12h ago

47.6%? Why do I feel like this data is a bit mysterious... The historical patterns have long been broken in the crypto world, alright.

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Lonely_Validator

· 12h ago

47.6%? Bro, when does this data date back to... On-chain data can be misleading, but history won't lie. If Q1 could truly be reproduced, I would have gone all in long ago. But on the other hand, does the current market still buy into this? Seasonality is a joke in front of institutional choppers. Basically, it's about seeking certainty, but when has there ever been certainty in the crypto world?

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