2026-01-02 23:24:46

Polymarket, if they pull a clever move at this point and settle with a 50/50 split, it actually makes quite a bit of sense. To be honest, at this stage, it's hard to tell whether it should be Yes or No. The settlement mechanism of prediction markets is already quite complex, and when faced with such ambiguous situations, splitting the difference becomes a form of honest business expression—acknowledging the market's inherent uncertainty. For prediction market platforms, this can also be considered a highly creative crisis management approach.

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