2026-01-03 00:22:51

Bitcoin's 12-year long-term support line has only been touched four times in history, and this number itself indicates a problem.

Specifically: in 2013, 2015, 2022, and 2025, each time this critical support level was touched, it marked the bottom of the macro cycle. This is no coincidence.

From a technical perspective, this support line represents a key position within Bitcoin's long-term bull and bear cycles. Every time the price revisits this line, the market is sending the same signal—extreme oversold conditions, with institutions and whales already positioning. The subsequent move is a rebound.

After the bottom in late 2013, a rebound in 2014 was initiated. After touching in 2015, it entered the upward cycle of 2016. The bottom in 2022 laid the groundwork for the subsequent recovery. Now, with 2025 again confirming this line, historical patterns suggest that a cycle reversal signal may have already appeared.

For traders tracking Bitcoin's long-term trend, this 12-year support line is like a timer—telling you when to pay attention to the market's true bottom.

BTC0.17%

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MEVHunter

· 18h ago

Whales manipulating the mempool are starting to make moves again. I only half believe in this historical pattern.

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SwapWhisperer

· 19h ago

Wait, four touches are enough to establish a pattern? I feel like this kind of "historical pattern" argument is a bit far-fetched. --- It's the story of institutions and whales making moves again. Can we trust it this time? --- From 2013 to 2025, with such a long gap, can it really be used to predict now? --- Timer? It feels more like a gambler's story getting more and more convincing. --- Every time before a bottom, they say "signal release." So why didn't anyone call out the bottom earlier? --- Honestly, I find it hard to believe in a model built on just four data points. --- Why is this support line so magical? It seems like over-interpretation. --- Are institutions really operating according to this line, or is it just after-the-fact armchair analysis? --- Has a cycle reversal signal already appeared? Sounds like brainwashing for bottom-fishing. --- Reaching it again in 2025 would be impressive. But why wasn't this line mentioned before?

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DataBartender

· 19h ago

Wait, just because the 12-year support line has been touched 4 times, does that really prove anything? Then I’ve been wasting my time analyzing charts for the past two years, haha. Really? The whales’ layout is so obvious? It feels like every time someone calls the bottom, but we still have to wait. If this wave in 2025 really rebounds, that would be crazy. It feels like it will once again become a story of leek harvesters. Is the support line reliable, bro, or is it just the same old story of cutting leeks? This logic, I feel like I’ve heard it somewhere before, said the same thing last time.

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fren.eth

· 19h ago

Damn, 4 times out of 4, this pattern is too perfect --- Wait, are whales really that smart? Or are we all being fooled --- Since 2013, every time has been accurate, I believe it --- Support lines might be deceiving, it feels too perfect and that’s suspicious --- Once the bottom is confirmed, it’s time to buy in, don’t wait any longer --- This logic is a bit far-fetched, but who cares when it’s rising --- Four touches, four bottoms, I’m betting my assets on it --- Interesting, but as for historical patterns... just listen and forget about it --- Reconfirm in 2025, feels like this time is really different --- Why does every rebound never fail? That’s the real problem

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HorizonHunter

· 19h ago

It's the same old story, always claiming it's a bottom signal. So, I just want to ask—will this turn out to be a trap again?

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GasFeeCrier

· 19h ago

Starting to tell stories again, four times should be enough to explain the issue? I think even after 8 times, I'm still losing money. Historical patterns suggest a reversal, but why is my account still shrinking? Institutional whales are making moves? Bro, we're just following the trend, not part of the big players. That 12-year support line is so legendary, why didn't anyone get rich by bottom-fishing in 2022? Technical analysis is easy to read, but making money is hard—that's the real truth. A rebound my ass, I just want to know when I can get out of this position.

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LucidSleepwalker

· 19h ago

Only 4 times in 12 years? This data is indeed absolute... The whales probably have been lying in wait for a long time.

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