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Ethereum has shown an upward trend in the past 24 hours, driven by two main factors—positive technical signals and institutional capital involvement. However, this rally is not without obstacles, and there are several risks lurking beneath the surface.
From a fundamental perspective, Ethereum's support remains solid. Vitalik's 2026 roadmap clearly emphasizes decentralization and scalability as key directions. Recent upgrades like Pectra and Fusaka have improved network efficiency while also reinforcing Ethereum's core mission. These technological advancements have attracted the attention of major institutions—JPMorgan has launched a tokenized money market fund product on the Ethereum network, and BitMine announced plans to initiate a large-scale institutional staking system in 2026, implying ongoing accumulation of ETH.
In terms of price, ETH has increased by approximately 4% over the past 24 hours, with technical indicators also showing strong momentum. The EMA alignment (72599) and MACD both point to sustained upward energy. However, caution is warranted—RSI for 12 and 24 periods has already broken above 70, indicating that overbought risks are building.
Even more noteworthy are the conflicting signals emerging in the market. BlackRock has sold ETH worth $22.1 million, while a whale suffered an $18.8 million loss in a trade exchanging ETH for gold. These signs suggest that although institutional participation continues, large holders are also taking profits or adjusting their asset allocations.
Trading volume also warrants attention. Despite recent price gains, 24-hour trading volume has sharply declined from previous highs, and the entire crypto market hit its annual trading low in December. This reflects a decrease in market participation.
Community voices are also divided. Some see the strong accumulation by whales and technical breakthroughs as bullish signals, while others are cautious about potential short opportunities and point out abnormal trading patterns. This mixed market sentiment is a true reflection of Ethereum's current situation—an upward trend accompanied by pullback pressures, with institutional positioning also showing signs of利益分化.