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Bitcoin in 2026: price projections indicate consolidation with an upward bias
Source: PortaldoBitcoin Original Title: Bitcoin in 2026: Price Projections Indicate Consolidation with an Upside Bias Original Link: The price of Bitcoin started the new year trading around US$ 87,800, sometimes approaching US$ 90,000, other times falling slightly below, i.e., sideways, at a time when analysts are assessing how the asset might behave throughout 2026.
According to a compilation of analyses published recently, the market is entering a more mature phase of the cycle, with less speculative euphoria and greater influence of structural factors.
A cycle different from previous ones
2025 marked new all-time highs for Bitcoin, but the year ended below the peak. Now, the focus shifts to macroeconomic conditions, institutional flows, and market structure.
Unlike past cycles, retail speculation has waned, while spot Bitcoin ETFs in the United States have established themselves as a stable channel for institutional capital inflows.
Additionally, the slowdown in supply growth after the halving and a more restrictive financial environment helped keep the price contained, despite long-term structural demand.
Bitcoin price targets for 2026
Projections show wide variation. Fundstrat analysts state that Bitcoin could hit new all-time highs even before January 2026, suggesting a continuation of the upward trend. Meanwhile, analysts from Standard Chartered and Bernstein project prices around US$ 150,000 by the end of 2026, even after more conservative revisions.
Estimates also point to levels close to US$ 170,000, depending on macroeconomic scenarios and adoption pace.
Market sentiment and indicators
Sentiment indicators show an even broader range. Analyst comments vary from pessimistic scenarios near US$ 65,000 to optimistic projections reaching US$ 250,000. Other analyses highlight the ongoing influence of ETFs and the growth of stablecoins as relevant factors for valuation models.
Consolidation as the central theme
Overall, 2026 is expected to be less characterized by speculative rallies and more by price consolidation and discovery.
The concentration of forecasts between US$ 120,000 and US$ 170,000 reinforces the perception that Bitcoin is increasingly integrated into traditional financial markets, with its trajectory dependent on institutional decisions and global macroeconomic conditions.