Looking ahead to 2026, the crypto market may face several key turning points worth planning for in advance.



First is the geopolitical landscape. If the Russia-Ukraine conflict truly comes to an end, the safe-haven premiums for gold, crude oil, and natural gas will significantly shrink. At that time, funds flowing into safe-haven assets may seek new destinations, and rebuilding needs along with political stability typically stimulate demand for risk assets — which is a positive signal for the crypto space.

Next is the Federal Reserve's rate cut pace. The market generally expects two 25 basis point rate cuts in 2026, likely around March and June. But this is just market expectation; the official stance of the Federal Reserve remains cautious. Every rate cut announcement often causes intense market volatility, presenting both risks and opportunities.

Then, consider the US presidential election. Historically, every major election has been a critical turning point for the crypto industry. Especially in the lead-up to the inauguration, certain policy adjustments or market changes can bring unexpected market movements.

Finally, don't forget the trends in precious metals. If gold and silver continue to surge, they will drain liquidity and put pressure on the crypto market; conversely, if they retreat, funds trapped in metals may accelerate into digital assets. This logical chain should not be overlooked.
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LostBetweenChainsvip
· 2h ago
These variables in 2026 definitely need to be watched closely, especially the pace of interest rate cuts... If the Federal Reserve actually moves in March and June, the volatility could be even more intense than now.
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DegenMcsleeplessvip
· 2h ago
In 2026, keep a close eye on the pace of interest rate cuts. The Fed folks love to backtrack, and we'll have to deal with repeated setbacks.
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CoinBasedThinkingvip
· 2h ago
The expectation of interest rate cuts is really worth paying attention to, but although the Federal Reserve claims to be cautious, they turn around and do another set. How to operate during the two waves of market movements in March and June will be the key.
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DEXRobinHoodvip
· 2h ago
Only when Russia and Ukraine truly achieve peace can the cryptocurrency take off. It's still early.
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zkNoobvip
· 2h ago
There are indeed a few variables in 2026. If Russia and Ukraine reach peace, where liquidity will flow is a question, but with the Fed's attitude... I still don't quite believe in the expectation of interest rate cuts. Every time they say so, they end up face-slapping themselves.
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