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As of January 3, 2026, 13:30, BTC is currently trading at $89,800, with intra-day volatility leaning bullish. The core range is 88,700-90,500, primarily employing high sell and low buy strategies. Breakouts are followed by trend-based position increases, with strict risk control.
Core Key Levels (Professional Grade, Including Technical Basis)
- Support: 88,700 (EMA120 + 4-hour neckline), 88,000 (EMA200 + previous high turning support), 87,500 (dividing line between bulls and bears, a breakdown signals a bearish trend)
- Resistance: 90,000 (psychological barrier + intra-day high), 90,500 (dense area of previous highs), 91,000 (trendline resistance)
Technical Overview (Multi-timeframe Resonance)
- Daily: Three consecutive bullish candles with long upper shadows, heavy selling pressure at 90,000; MACD shows a golden cross but momentum is slowing, RSI approaching 70, warning of a potential pullback.
- 4-hour: Double top emerging, price losing support of EMA120, MACD shows a death cross, RSI overbought and beginning to decline, indicating a clear short-term correction.
- 1-hour: KDJ death cross, volume shrinking, rebound losing strength, prioritize waiting for a pullback before entering positions, avoid chasing highs.
Professional Trading Strategies (Precise Levels + Quantitative Risk Control)
1. Conservative Long Positions (Institutional Level Entry)
- Entry: Buy on pullback to 88,700-89,000 with signs of support (hammer or bullish engulfing), supported by volume.
- Stop Loss: Below 88,500 (300 points, single trade loss ≤ 2%).
- Targets: 90,000 → 90,500, with a breakout target of 91,000, taking profits in stages.
- Position Size: Light position of 2-3%, increase to 5% upon breakout.
2. Aggressive Short Positions (Short-term Play)
- Entry: Short on resistance at 90,500-90,700 (shooting star or bearish engulfing), with insufficient volume.
- Stop Loss: Above 91,000 (500 points).
- Targets: 89,800 → 89,000, with a breakdown target of 88,700.
- Position Size: 1-2%, strict stop loss, avoid holding oversized positions.
3. Breakout Strategy (Trend Following)
- Upside Break: Confirmed with 4-hour close above 90,500, chase long positions, stop loss at 90,200, targets 91,000-91,500.
- Downside Break: Confirmed with 4-hour close below 88,700, chase short positions, stop loss at 89,000, targets 88,000-87,500.
Risk Control and Execution (Professional Standards)
- Maximum loss per trade ≤ **2%** of total capital, with decisive stop-loss, no locking or averaging down.
- Gradual Position Building / Profit Taking: Bottom position + scaling in, move stop-loss to breakeven after profit realization.
- Time-based Risk Control: Close intra-day trades within the day; for trend trades, use EMA120 as a trailing stop.
- Coordinated Risk Control: Monitor ETH trends and macro news; in case of sudden negative news, reduce positions immediately.
Today’s Professional Viewpoint
Focus on intra-day operations within the 88,700-90,500 range, paying special attention to the breakout of 88,700 support and 90,500 resistance. Follow the trend after breakouts, start with light positions, and enforce strict risk management.