2026-01-04 21:14:23

#加密市场开年反弹 $BTC ‌

Personal opinion: 2026 the cryptocurrency market is a structural bullish trend, not just a mass boom and a crazy market, but also a great opportunity to attract additional funds and deploy price manipulations.

1. Key statement: 2026 is a structural bullish trend driven by institutional capital, and only leading cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum are gaining attention; a mass market driven by retail investors is unlikely.

2. Rhythm distribution: a decrease in the Fed rate + political bonuses + influx of investments into ETFs will likely cause another rise in BTC. (It is impossible to start the year with a sharp decline, as this is bad for further capital inflow)

3. Positive drivers: a decrease in the Fed rate promotes increased liquidity, a steady flow of investments into physical Bitcoin ETFs causes demand and supply imbalance; gradual clarity in cryptocurrency regulation in the US, increased institutional and corporate purchases to support prices.

4. Downside risks: re-inflation may lead to a smaller-than-expected rate cut, and liquidity tightening — to pressure on risky assets; according to the halving cycle theory, 2026 could be a year of market correction, and BTC may return to the range of 65-75 thousand dollars; low-liquidity altcoins without capital support are likely to be pushed out of the market.

5. Trading strategies: short-term — during manipulation phases from high levels, short positions on rises, mainly — long; long-term — accumulation of short positions, each 5% increase — add 7-8%, with low leverage no more than 30%.

According to last year's structural scheme for November and December, the price increased over two weeks, then returned back in one day. Translation masters work with structural analysis, not with short-term fluctuations — it doesn't make sense. First, study technical analysis, and in the second half of the year, I will help you identify exact levels!

BTC1.55%

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纽约翻仓大神

2026-01-04 04:07:02

#加密市场开年反弹 $BTC ‌
Personal opinion: The 2026 crypto market is a structural bull market, not a broad-based crazy bull, but rather an excellent opportunity for trap trading and market dumps.

1. Core judgment: 2026 will be a institution-driven structural bull market, with funds only recognizing blue-chip coins like Bitcoin and Ethereum. A broad-based rally led by retail investors is unlikely.

2. Rhythm projection: Federal Reserve rate cuts + policy benefits + ETF capital inflows will likely cause a wave of Bitcoin price increases. (It's unlikely to dump at the start of the year, as that would hinder subsequent capital inflows.)

3. Bullish drivers: Fed rate cuts release liquidity, continuous inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs cause supply-demand imbalance; US crypto regulatory framework gradually clarifies, institutions and enterprises increase holdings to support demand.

4. Bearish risks: Repeated inflation may lead to rate cuts falling short of expectations, liquidity tightening suppresses risk assets; under the four-year halving cycle theory, 2026 may be a year of market consolidation, with BTC potentially retracing to the $65,000-$75,000 range; low-liquidity altcoins lack capital support and are likely to be淘汰 by the market.

5. Trading strategies: Short-term—shorting high positions during trap rallies, mainly going long on dips; long-term—accumulating short positions, adding 7-8% on each 5% increase, with leverage not exceeding 30%.

Referring to a four-hour structure chart from November-December last year, it rose for two weeks and then dropped back in a day. The master of position flipping focuses on structural analysis, not short-term small waves, which are meaningless. First learn technical analysis, and I will guide you to precise levels in the second half of the year!

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