BTC has now rebounded to 93,000, just hitting the midline of the channel. With about ten days until January 15th, the upcoming trend essentially splits into two paths.

First, the optimistic scenario: if the price can effectively break through the midline of the channel in the next two days and then rebound around the 15th to the yearly line. If on that day MSTR is delisted, Bitcoin will turn downward, potentially dropping below 80,000; conversely, if MSTR is not delisted, the price will continue to push upward.

Now, the pessimistic scenario: before January 15th, Bitcoin oscillates near the midline of the channel, unable to surpass the high on December 9th. Similarly, if MSTR is delisted, Bitcoin could fall below 80,000; if not, it will continue to rebound toward the yearly line.

Ultimately, the direction of this wave of market movement mainly depends on MSTR's situation. If MSTR confirms a rebound momentum, the probability of the optimistic scenario increases; if MSTR continues to decline, the likelihood of the pessimistic scenario becomes higher.

From a technical perspective, MSTR has already shown a daily RSI bullish divergence, indicating that a short-term rebound is quite likely. Additionally, Bitcoin is steadily bouncing along the five-day moving average. Overall, the probability of the optimistic scenario is relatively higher. How things develop specifically still depends on MSTR's actual performance in the next couple of days.