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January 7th, 13:00 (UTC+8) BTC quote around 93,600, short-term high-level oscillation, medium-term bias towards bullish, key focus on the breakthrough direction of 94,400 resistance and 91,200 support.
Core key levels
- Resistance: 94,000-94,500 (yesterday's high 94,415, previous high congestion zone); 95,000 (psychological barrier)
- Support: 93,000 (midline during oscillation); 91,200-91,500 (early morning low, V-shaped rebound starting point); 90,300 (4-hour SMA50/downtrend line); 89,000-90,000 (daily strong support)
Multi-timeframe indicators (as of 13:00)
- 1 hour: RSI≈42.5 (weak), MACD death cross, short-term oscillation leaning bearish, needs to break 93,000 to turn strong
- 4 hours: RSI≈52.2 (neutral), MACD weakening bullish, bullish structure not broken, waiting for volume confirmation
- Daily: RSI≈58.7 (bullish), MACD bullish, long lower shadow shows support, medium-term bias towards bullish
Pattern and volume
- Pattern: surge to 94,415, then pullback to 91,210, quick rebound, high-level oscillation digesting floating positions, V-shaped rebound confirms buy orders at 91,200-91,500
- Volume: volume increases during pullback, decreases during rebound, short-term cautious chasing, wait for key level breakthrough to confirm direction
Trading strategies (actionable)
- Bullish (conservative): enter on hourly close above 93,300, stop loss below 92,800; target one 94,000, target two 94,500, target three 95,000
- Bearish (conservative): enter on hourly close below 91,200, stop loss above 91,800; target one 90,300, target two 89,500
- Position: single direction ≤30%, total position ≤50%, strictly adhere to stop loss, avoid chasing highs or selling lows near the midline of 93,000
Risks and outlook
- Risk points: US stock volatility, US employment data, ETF capital flows; breaking below 90,300 shifts medium-term bias from bullish to bearish
- Medium-term outlook: holding above 90,300 maintains bullish stance, breaking through 94,500 could open new space, targets 95,000-96,000; losing 90,300 targets 89,000-90,000 zone