Breaking news just came out—there's a historic shift happening within the Federal Reserve. Among the 12 FOMC voting members, 6 have explicitly expressed support for a 25 basis point rate cut in January. This is not just a numerical change; it signifies that the prolonged high-interest-rate environment may be ending sooner than expected, and the door to market liquidity is gradually opening.



Once this rate cut truly materializes, over $1.5 trillion in new liquidity will surge into global markets like a tsunami. To put this number into perspective—it’s equivalent to injecting cash into the economy exceeding Apple’s total market capitalization. In simple terms, it’s enough to buy the entire Tesla and still have enough left to buy half of Netflix. Such a massive release of funds is rare in history.

Interestingly, history provides ample reference data. In two out of the three complete rate-cutting cycles in the past, Bitcoin experienced spectacular gains exceeding 400% within 12 months afterward. This is no coincidence but a natural outcome of capital seeking high-yield assets—when traditional financial yields decline, the attractiveness of risk assets rises significantly.

Market reactions have already begun in anticipation. After the news broke, Bitcoin surged instantly, successfully breaking through multiple key resistance levels. Even more noteworthy is the performance of Bitcoin spot ETFs—single-day net inflows just hit a new record high. This indicates that institutions and smart money never wait for official news; they always position themselves early. The surge in liquidations of short positions across the network also confirms a shift in market sentiment.

But here’s a question worth pondering: will this flood of liquidity truly push asset prices higher without obstacles?

While rate cuts straightforwardly imply loose monetary conditions, they also often hint at underlying economic risks. Central banks don’t release liquidity without reason; it’s usually driven by concerns over economic growth or employment data. So the key question becomes: is this the true beginning of a super bull market for risk assets, or just the last wild celebration before “good news” runs out?

When the tide comes in, the first things to surface are often bubbles, not gold. Where will this astronomical $1.5 trillion flow? How much will actually enter the cryptocurrency market? How much will be absorbed by traditional finance and stocks? These remain open questions.

What’s your take on this situation? If you’re currently holding a lot of cash, would you choose to go all-in on cryptocurrencies or shift to more stable options like US stocks? In this flood of $1.5 trillion, what proportion do you expect will actually flow into Bitcoin and Ethereum? Share your thoughts and positions in the comments—perhaps the next big market move is brewing in discussions like these.
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LiquidationWizardvip
· 01-11 03:55
Bro, this wave of liquidity is really here. It feels like the bears are about to be squeezed out alive. The record-breaking net inflow into spot ETFs is a very clear signal; institutions have already sensed it. But I still want to be cautious. 1.5 trillion sounds impressive, but how much of that actually flows into the crypto space? We need to see. Going all in is too crazy. I’d rather split it 50:50, don’t want to gamble everything on a single shot. Historical data shows a 450% increase, no doubt, but can it be repeated? I still need to stay alert. Interest rate cuts are also a warning sign for the economy. That’s the most concerning part. Let’s wait and see. No rush, some things haven’t fully materialized yet.
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FOMOmonstervip
· 01-11 03:55
Here we go again, does a rate cut necessarily mean a rise? I’m not so sure. Can this wave really flow into the crypto circle? Question mark. Institutions are all bottom-fishing, and I’m still on the sidelines... 1.5 trillion sounds impressive, but how much of that actually reaches the crypto world? Historical data looks good, but this time is truly different. It’s just the peak of ETF net inflows, what about afterward? I’ll keep my wallet tight and watch for now. Rate cuts = good news? Wake up, this is a sign of economic trouble. Don’t go all in; testing the waters in stages is the right approach.
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ServantOfSatoshivip
· 01-11 03:55
The rate cuts are here, but how much of the real money flowing into crypto? That's the key. Institutions are bottom-fishing, retail investors are still hesitating—classic script. 1.5 trillion sounds intimidating, but the actual amount entering the crypto space is probably only a few hundred billion. Don't overthink it. Historical data showing Bitcoin's 400% increase is valid, but this time the economic fundamentals are right there. Go all in? I wouldn't dare. Diversified allocation is safer—like 50 BTC, 30 ETFs, and 20 in cash. The phrase "the last frenzy before good news is exhausted" hits hard; we need to be cautious. Seeing record-breaking net inflows into spot ETFs indicates big players are already starting to move, while retail investors are still watching the gains to decide whether to chase. Traditional finance will take the biggest share; we probably won't get much of the pie—just understand it that way.
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OnlyUpOnlyvip
· 01-11 03:52
Bro, you don't listen to the bubble theory, history is just repeating itself. It's mainly about how institutions play it. Now with ETF net inflows hitting new highs, the signal is too strong. I still need to diversify, not all in any one asset, it's too risky. 1.5 trillion just printed like that, the crypto world can at least benefit from 20%, the rest has definitely been siphoned off by traditional finance. Cutting interest rates = economic problems, I agree with this logic, but what does it mean for us retail investors... it's just a good time to buy the dip. No cash left, already went all-in long ago, truly.
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MetaNomadvip
· 01-11 03:50
Not all in, being too greedy can lead to sudden death.
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ruggedNotShruggedvip
· 01-11 03:42
Wait, have there been two instances of 400% increases in history? Can this data be checked again? Did institutions really get ahead of the game, or are they just on the road to cutting leeks again? 1.5 trillion sounds great, but if it really flows into the crypto world, only a small percentage would be a win. Lowering interest rates ≠ a bull market; we need to be careful with this logic, brothers. Cash on hand is making me itchy, but I always feel something's off... All-in are gamblers; holding some cash is the real key. Is this wave a tsunami or a mirror image? Who can say for sure? Just looking at the short liquidation data shows how crazy the market is. The liquidity flood was ultimately absorbed by the stock market, half of it. Those who enter now are just waiting to be trapped; this wave is not the starting point.
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MEVHuntervip
· 01-11 03:27
A wave of 1.5 trillion is pouring in, but how many points can actually flow into the crypto circle... That's why I pay attention to mempool signals. The key isn't the rate cut itself, but how the funds are allocated and where the arbitrage opportunities are. A 400% increase sounds great, but can it really be replicated this time? I have my doubts; economic risks are right there. Institutions rushing to buy spot ETFs is just them getting in early; what kind of trades can we retail investors make... The moment when the positive news is exhausted is actually the most dangerous; big players have already been lurking in the mempool. Isn't this just the last bloodsucking before the final celebration? Feels very risky. Out of the 1.5 trillion, I estimate only a few percent will truly flow into the crypto space; the rest will probably be dumped into the US stock market. Shorts liquidating is just superficial prosperity; the real state of underlying funds hasn't been exposed yet. Rate cuts = economic problems; why is this logic always ignored... I remain cautious. Going all-in now is too aggressive; staggered positioning is the proper approach.
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