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GUA short-term technical outlook presents an interesting situation. The current price is around 0.1232, with 5 consecutive bullish candles in the last 10 fifteen-minute bars. On the surface, it seems like a strong bullish momentum, but a closer look at the data reveals a different story.
Overall volatility is quite mild. The average range is only 0.70%, indicating a low-volatility environment. However, the body of the latest candle has already reached 65.9%, and this proportion is gradually increasing, showing that although buying pressure persists, it is quite gentle—commonly said, "Someone is buying, but no one is chasing aggressively."
Why is it rising? Three reasons combined: technically, the consecutive small bullish candles create a short-term bullish inertia; trading volume has not significantly increased, suggesting a testing phase under low liquidity; plus, the overall market low volatility makes it easy to form slight trends within narrow channels. Simply put, it's inertia-driven, but with limited energy.
From a trading perspective, focus should be on the 0.1240-0.1250 zone. After consecutive bullish candles, the price is approaching short-term resistance. If a bearish candle appears on the 15-minute chart with a body proportion over 50%, consider a light short position with a stop-loss above 0.1260. Conversely, if the price pulls back to around 0.1215-0.1220 and stabilizes, with volume starting to pick up, there could be an opportunity to enter a short-term long position.
Finally, it’s important to remember that after consecutive bullish candles, a technical correction often follows—that's a normal market rhythm. Given the current low volatility, it’s advisable to strictly control position sizes, set proper stop-loss levels, and adopt a quick in-and-out approach for wise trading.