XRP Above Its All-Time High? The Recurring Pattern That Analysts Cannot Ignore

In the volatile cryptocurrency landscape, repetitive technical patterns have often captured traders’ attention seeking reversal signals. Ripple’s XRP is currently in a critical phase, with the broader crypto market under significant pressure. However, some analysts are examining a fascinating pattern emerging from the asset’s past performance, suggesting that we may be on the verge of an explosive move—potentially to levels never before touched in this token’s history.

A Recurring Pattern That Has Generated Extraordinary Gains

The key to this analysis lies in XRP’s behavior relative to the 50-week simple moving average (SMA), a technical indicator that has proven reliable in signaling major turning points. According to research conducted by industry analysts, when XRP spends an extended period—generally between 50 and 84 days—below this long-term moving average, it has historically coincided with capitulation and accumulation phases, followed by significant rebounds once the price reclaims this crucial level.

This recurring phenomenon has manifested multiple times in recent market cycles, creating notable opportunities for those who understood the pattern. In 2018, XRP remained below this moving average for about 70 days before launching a rally that took it over 200% higher from its low. Subsequently, in 2021, a shorter period—around 49 days—below the same technical level preceded a recovery of approximately 70%.

The most impressive episode, however, occurred during the 2024-2025 cycle. XRP spent 84 days below the 50-week SMA in depressed market conditions. Once the price broke above this dynamic resistance, the asset embarked on a dizzying ascent to reach $3.66 by mid-2025—a movement representing an overall increase of 850% measured from the previous cycle’s low, pushing XRP toward the highest point in the coin’s history.

Current Technical State and Contradictory Signals

Today, XRP is again in the early phase of this recurring cycle. The asset has been tracking below the 50-week SMA for nearly 70 days, approaching recent lows around $1.80-$1.85. With the current price at $2.05, XRP remains under pressure, with momentum oscillators and short-term moving averages still indicating seller control in the near term.

The short-term technical picture remains complex. The asset has lost critical supports, and bearish patterns—including double top formations—continue to dominate price action. On the other hand, signals suggest that selling pressure could be nearing exhaustion. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on weekly timeframes shows oversold conditions, and compression in the lower range of the band suggests that the downward push may have reached its maximum intensity.

What If the Pattern Repeats?

If the historical pattern manifests again with similar intensity to previous cycles, the economic implications could be significant. Replicating the 850% movement from the current base would push XRP to valuations well above previous all-time highs—reaching the highest point in the coin’s history in an even more pronounced manner.

Even a more modest scenario—growth of about half that magnitude—would still represent a drastic change from current price levels, offering substantial returns to those holding positions during this accumulation phase.

It is crucial to remember, however, that market dynamics depend on multiple factors beyond technical patterns: macroeconomic developments, investor sentiment, regulatory evolutions, and broader market feedback all influence the final outcome. The weeks and months ahead will be decisive in confirming or denying this recurring pattern and will reveal whether XRP is indeed positioned to replicate one of its most dramatic rallies in recent history.