The Bitcoin market at the threshold: Samson Mow analyzes possible turning point scenarios

What future awaits the Bitcoin market? This question is becoming increasingly urgent in light of stagnation signals in 2025. Samson Mow, founder and CEO of the Bitcoin infrastructure company Jan3, has extensively examined this topic and warns of a potential shift—the so-called “Omega Cycle.”

What is behind the “Omega Cycle”?

According to Mow’s analysis, the Bitcoin market may be at a critical turning point. The stagnating development of Bitcoin this year could be a precursor to a fundamental change. Unlike the well-known recurring market cycles of the past, an “Omega Cycle” could usher in a historically new phase.

Three development scenarios for Bitcoin

Mow identifies several possible development paths for the Bitcoin market:

Extended Cycle: The first scenario would depict a prolonged course of the established market cycles—a continuation of the familiar pattern, but with an extended duration.

Generation-Spanning Bull Market: A second model describes a bull market of historic proportions that could persist across generations and fundamentally transform long-term price dynamics.

Transition to Stability and Broad Adoption: The third scenario outlines a shift to a phase with reduced volatility, coupled with increasing market penetration and institutional acceptance. Bitcoin could evolve from a volatile speculative asset to a stable, widely used investment instrument.

Recommendations for investors

Against this backdrop, Mow advises market participants to strategically prepare for these various scenarios. A differentiated analysis and risk management strategy could help position oneself regardless of the actual market development.