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#WarshLeadsFedChairRace
Kevin Warsh’s odds of taking the
helm at the Federal Reserve have just spiked to 60%. With the market
pricing in unchanged rates for January, the big question is: What does a Warsh
Fed mean for Crypto? 🦅💰
The Breakdown:
The Bearish Case (Liquidity Crunch) Warsh is historically a hawk. He has been vocal about his
concerns regarding asset bubbles and the risks of "easy money." If he
leads the Fed, the "Higher for Longer" narrative on interest rates
could cement itself. Since crypto thrives on liquidity and cheap money, a
reluctance to cut rates could cap upside and tighten risk-on appetites.
The Bullish Case (Stability &
Clarity) Unlike some critics who want to ban
crypto, Warsh has generally advocated for private-sector innovation over
government-issued CBDCs. He understands financial markets deeply. While he may
be tight on money, he is unlikely to push for hostile, erratic regulatory
enforcement. Stability favors institutional adoption.
The Verdict: Likely Neutral-to-Bearish in the short term. A Warsh
chairmanship suggests a disciplined approach to inflation that restricts the
"printer go brrr" policies that drive parabolic bull runs. However, a
focus on market stability over aggressive regulation could provide a safer
foundation for the industry's long-term maturity.
Trade smart. Rates aren't coming
down soon. 📉🪙
#Fed #Crypto