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Macro vs. Technical: Like Liberal Arts Students and Science Students in a Relationship
The macro camp likes to talk about logical chains:
Interest rates → Liquidity → Risk appetite → Asset pricing.
The technical camp only looks at one phrase:
Candlestick charts don’t lie.
In reality, mature traders are often “hybrid types”:
Looking at the macro perspective, finding positions through technical analysis.
Currently, the Fed’s discussions are heating up, essentially reflecting the market’s anxiety about future liquidity. This will influence the valuation center but won’t determine short-term volatility paths.
The crypto market is becoming increasingly “financialized,” but still retains high volatility and emotion-driven characteristics.
This means—
Macro influence is strengthening but has not yet dominated.
My principle:
Don’t oppose macro trends,
And don’t be hostage to macro.
If the market feeds you, eat;
If the market clears the table, then leave.
Interaction:
Are you a macro supporter or a technical supporter?
#美联储人事与宏观政策影响