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AI cycle vs. US stock market trend, which news makes your heart race the most?
Recently, market stimulation comes not only from candlestick charts but also from news headlines. The AI sector is once again active, US tech stocks are strengthening, and macro data alternates between hot and cold. Are you watching the demand curve for computing power, or are you tracking the movements of index futures?
The core ability of macro catchers is to distinguish between "trend" and "noise." A piece of good news that can continue to ferment is a main trend; a piece of news that only causes short-term volatility is just sentiment.
The AI cycle is responsible for storytelling, while the US stock market trend provides liquidity. When both are in sync, resonance often amplifies risk appetite; when they diverge, the market tends to oscillate and fluctuate.
The news that most makes people want to "rush in" usually has three points: policy or industry support, funding cooperation, and room for narrative continuation. Otherwise, it’s just clickbait.
The first wave of good news in the Year of the Horse may not be a specific data point, but rather the synchronization of macro and industry trends. As a catcher, you don’t need to chase every piece of news, but you must stay alert.
Markets are available every day, but opportunities are often scarce. A good start doesn’t necessarily come from a surge in prices but from your understanding of the overall trend. Seeking steady progress is the right way to open the Year of the Horse.