Polymarket "Will there be a ceasefire in the Russia-Ukraine conflict before the end of March" trading volume continues to expand, YES probability drops to 2%

SmartContractAuditor · 2026-03-13T08:52:12+00:00

Odaily Seer monitoring shows that the probability of a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire before March 31, 2026 has dropped to 2%, with trading volume increasing to 24.726 million dollars. Mainstream traders view a short-term ceasefire as a low-probability event, with a clear market reaction.

SmartContractAuditor

2026-03-13 08:52:12

Abstract generation in progress

Odaily Seer Insight Channel monitoring shows that in the prediction event “Will Russia and Ukraine cease fire before March 31, 2026,” the probability of a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine before the end of March has dropped to 2%. The market’s 24-hour trading volume is approximately $355,000, with a total trading volume reaching $24,726,000.

The probability of this event previously increased but has been steadily declining this month, while trading volume continues to grow. Based on current market pricing, mainstream traders still consider a short-term ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine to be a very unlikely event.

Odaily Seer Insight Channel continues to monitor prediction markets and perceives changes before they are priced in.

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.