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Last Bear Market Accumulation Phase: 487 days
≈ 16 months
If this cycle follows a similar structure, we could still have ~1 year of accumulation left.
However, with a possible Clarity Act, stablecoin developments, institutional partnerships, banking integrations, AI payment focus and growing U.S. government involvement, momentum this year could be significantly stronger, meaning the move up might come faster.
Another leg down toward ~$1.6T total market cap would be a no brainer buy zone for me (max pain territory), but after the price action of the past months it’s starting to look less likely. Realistically, we’d probably need something like an FTX style capitulation/liquidation cascade to get there.
Still wouldn’t mind one more dip there to accumulate.
For now: DCA orders stay.
Reassessing week to week depending on momentum and narratives.
Still only partially positioned.