Easiest way to tell you’re in a bear market: the chart keeps selling you hope.

In bears, BTC can grind up for weeks, look like a reversal, everyone flips bullish, and then it just prints a lower low again. Open the daily and you’ll see the rhythm: rebound, then another step down, repeat.
Bull cycles often do the opposite: long annoying pullbacks that feel wrong, then a clean push to new highs anyway, more than once.
The trap is changing your entire bias on local moves. Don’t. Track one thing: are we making higher highs or lower lows. Right now the job is not hero trades. It’s controlling drawdown and surviving with capital intact until the next real bull.