Deutsche Bank’s $30 Billion Private Credit Bet Has Shares Down 26% This Year

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Deutsche Bank’s shares are down 26% year-to-date after it disclosed a $30 billion exposure to private credit, prompting investor concerns about shadow banking risks, potential indirect credit losses, and legacy legal liabilities. The bank also faces projected Q1 2026 trading revenue declines due to unfavorable currency movements and has a consistently “very bearish” sentiment on Reddit. Despite these issues, the bank’s balance sheet is not “obviously broken,” maintaining a 14.2% CET1 capital ratio and reporting significant net profit in 2025.

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