I just saw that Cathie Wood, the founder of ARK Invest, has been thinking quite a bit about the future of quantum computing. It turns out that this is one of the most common questions she receives about innovation and trends, so she decided to delve deeper into the topic.

What’s interesting is what she found after reviewing all the current research on where we really stand with this technology. Wood is quite clear in her prediction: the actual commercial applications of quantum computing probably won’t arrive until the mid-2040s or mid-2060s. No short-term hype.

What caught my attention is how she reflects on her own career. She says that for years, the commercialization of quantum computing always seemed just around the corner, about 20 years away. But after spending so much time in this field, she now estimates that this timeline remains roughly the same, maybe 19 years. That’s the kind of observation only someone with real experience in the sector can make. Quantum computing remains that fascinating frontier that advances, but with patience.