Next week (April 4th - April 11th), Bitcoin is likely to maintain a pattern of "weak volatility with a downward shift in the center of gravity." The current market is in a tug-of-war between "sentiment bottom" and "liquidity tightening," lacking a core driving force for a one-sided trend.

📉 Core forecast: Slightly bearish oscillation

- Probable range: $63,000 - $68,500. Currently, the price is stuck in the middle, lacking upward momentum due to insufficient funds, with short-term support below.
- Trend characterization: Weekly moving averages are in a bearish alignment, still in a deep adjustment cycle. The rebound should be viewed as a chance to reduce positions rather than a reversal signal.

🎯 Key level battles

| Direction | Price Range | Significance |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Resistance above | $68,500 - $70,000 | Strong resistance zone; a breakout requires increased volume, otherwise a pullback is likely |
| Support below | $65,000 - $65,800 | Short-term lifeline; a volume-driven breakdown could accelerate downward movement |
| Deep decline target | $61,500 - $63,000 | If macro negative news intensifies, this range may be tested |

⚠️ Risk warning

1. Macro pressure: The Federal Reserve maintaining high interest rate expectations + geopolitical conflicts lead to reduced risk asset appetite.
2. Capital outflows: Spot ETF shows net outflows; institutions are still selling or waiting, lacking incremental funds.

Trading suggestion: Mainly observe or hold lightly. If a rebound is blocked near $68,500, consider reducing positions; if volume breaks below $65,000, be alert to further deep declines, and avoid blindly bottom-fishing.

⚠️ Risk reminder: Cryptocurrency prices are highly volatile. This article does not constitute investment advice. Investing involves risks; decisions should be made cautiously.