Recently, I've been pondering a question: Is there really a causal relationship between Japan's interest rate hikes and Bitcoin market movements?
Looking back at the data from the past year, it's quite interesting—
After the March 2024 rate hike, Bitcoin dropped by 23%. Another hike in July expanded the decline to 26%. Then in January 2025, Japan took action again, and Bitcoin fell even more sharply, with a 31% drop.
Three rate hikes, three declines. Coincidence or pattern?
What does Japan's rate hike mean? Simply put, it indicates a strengthening dollar, a shift in arbitrage trading sentiment

#大户持仓变化 Bitcoin has already touched the support level on the daily chart and is currently rebounding around 86,500. Based on the current trend, if it can break through the key resistance at 89,000, there is still a chance to continue strengthening. $BTC $ETH The correlation between these two major mainstream coins is worth paying attention to, as the movements of whales often give us some hints.

#美国非农就业数据表现强劲 The market is always in motion, while human greed and fear are always static.
Rather than obsessing over right or wrong directions, it's better to focus on the rhythm of the trend—this is the key. The actual logic of making money in trading is quite simple: identify a certain volatility space, then stick to disciplined execution.
Mainstream coins and small-cap tokens ultimately follow the same set of rules. When emotions fluctuate, mistakes are most likely to happen. Those who repeatedly lose in sideways markets and get hurt by chasing rallies and selling in dips usually treat pr

#美国证券交易委员会推进数字资产监管框架创新 After the non-farm payroll data was released last night, BNB came under pressure and dipped to the support level of 840. Subsequently, buying interest pushed it up to around 878. Currently, it is oscillating around the 870 area. From a short-term trend perspective, a bearish outlook still dominates—the 870-878 range can be considered for short positions. If a significant breakdown occurs, the lows at 865 and even 853 are within the target range. $BNB $SOL $ZEC These cryptocurrencies have recently shown similar volatility characteristics under the Federal Reserve's policy

#美联储降息 $BTC recent trend has indeed been less than ideal. The daily moving averages are in a bearish alignment, and the downward trendline drawn from the October high has been pressing down from above, making each rebound seem weak.
Looking at the market sentiment makes it even clearer. The long-short ratio is only 0.85, indicating that the bulls are retreating, and the main force is experiencing net outflows. The most disheartening thing is that long contracts have been frequently liquidated recently, showing that traders' confidence is clearly wavering.
On the macro level, there’s little roo

#以太坊行情技术解读 $ETH $BNB is currently consolidating and fluctuating. Instead of blindly chasing highs, it's better to take a break first. In this market situation, controlling your impulses is winning. True opportunities are always reserved for those with patience—wait until the signals are clear, then make a decisive move. We observe and accumulate, and when it's time to act, we won't hesitate.

#美国非农就业数据表现强劲 Night trading plunges have once again been realized.
Actors profit in fear, while those who are repeatedly entangled and delay decisions time and again only deepen their anxiety. This is the market. $BTC $ETH's volatility always plays out the same drama—some take action amid the turbulence of US data, while others remain stuck in place.
Your choices determine the outcome.

An active ETH whale account has recently made a big move again. In the early hours, this large holder reopened a long position, with contract position data showing it is holding 4,100 ETH at 25x leverage, with an opening price set at 2940.27 and a liquidation price at 2698.71.
Speaking of this address, market observers are no strangers—it's like a cockroach that never dies 🪳, always appearing whenever the market fluctuates. The size of this position and the leverage multiple are enough to influence short-term market sentiment. From the opening price to the liquidation price, the space between

#以太坊行情技术解读 Ethereum Morning Technical Observation
$ETH is currently in a converging triangle pattern, with key support already broken. At present, the market shows alternating overbought and oversold conditions. The short-term risk is that it follows Bitcoin but has weaker independence—if Bitcoin fails to break above resistance and pulls back, Ethereum is likely to decline simultaneously. The selling pressure during rebounds is also quite heavy, making it difficult to sustain an upward trend.
On the four-hour chart, the MA5 and MA10 have formed a death cross. After the price fell below the cri

The Federal Reserve has been causing quite a stir lately. Atlanta Fed President Bostic published a lengthy article, directly challenging market expectations of rate cuts. This hawkish figure, who will retire in February next year, speaks bluntly and has stirred the entire trading community.
His core stance is quite clear: inflation is the current primary threat, and the risk of rate cuts is very high now. This is not alarmist—over the past five years, prices have risen by a full 20%, and inflation has been above target for nearly five years. Corporate earnings reports are also frank, with cost

#大户持仓变化 Bitcoin has been a bit sluggish lately, bouncing around there. From the K-line chart, the price is hovering near the lower Bollinger Band, with the upper and lower channels widening more and more, and the lower line still continuing to dip. Market pressure is clearly increasing, and the bears are gradually gathering.
The current situation is a period of adjustment and correction, with momentum indeed waning. If you want to trade, you might consider shorting at the two levels of 88200 and 88700, with the first target at 85000. If that level is broken, look towards 80000.
$BTC $ETH $SOL

Important progress has been made at the OGA ecosystem level. The project team has officially transferred the pool contract permissions to the community DAO management, with on-chain data available for real-time verification, ensuring maximum transparency throughout the process. This move not only demonstrates trust in the community but also lays a solid foundation for the long-term healthy development of the ecosystem.
Another noteworthy development comes from the strategic side. After CHILIZ Group completed the acquisition of OG ESPORTS, new strategic projects have been launched successively.

#美联储降息 6 years of navigating the crypto world, I turned an initial 20,000 yuan into 50 million. No luck, no insider info, just a simple, straightforward, and super effective trading logic. Today, I’m sharing 6 secret practical rules—understanding just 1 of them can save you 100,000; mastering 3 can easily help you outperform 90% of retail investors in the market.
**Two Iron Rules About Bitcoin**
Seeing a quick surge followed by a slow decline? That’s mostly the main force shaking out weak hands. Many panic and sell when prices drop, but the more anxious you are, the more you need to stay calm.

#美国非农就业数据表现强劲 December 16 Closing Summary
Today went quite smoothly. Completed 12 trades throughout the day, capturing a total gain of 102 points, which translates to a profit of $43,615.
Honestly, having navigated this market extensively, I’ve seen all kinds of行情. When prices surge wildly, it’s easy to get carried away; when they fall, it’s easy to lose composure. But I’ve found that those who truly make money are never the ones chasing trends or betting on directions. It’s all about professionalism and patience—one is technical skill, the other is mental resilience.
The market tells differen

#美国非农就业数据表现强劲 $PTB finally reached 0.0068. I predicted this wave of market movement earlier, from 0.003994 all the way to 0.006879. This rebound indeed did not disappoint.
The market logic is actually very clear — after a deep correction, the main support levels are the real opportunities. The performance of these few assets like $FORM and $TRUTH also confirms this.
What do you think about this surge? Have you made any arrangements in the bottom area? Share your thoughts in the comments.

#大户持仓变化 December 17th (Wednesday) Economic Calendar Overview: This day is packed with data releases, with several heavyweight indicators and central bank speeches worth paying close attention to.
The morning is relatively calm. At 01:45 AM, Bank of Canada Governor Macklem will deliver a speech; his remarks have historically had a significant impact on North American markets. Immediately after, at 05:30 AM, the US will release API crude oil inventory data through December 12th—oil price fluctuations often influence the entire macro asset allocation, and the crypto market can also be affected.
E

The performance of PIPPIN, FOLKS, and BEAT has indeed been worth paying attention to recently.
From a fundamental perspective, these three projects lack actual application support, and their valuations show obvious bubbles. They should normally stabilize around 0.01, but large amounts of capital have been smashing the order book to artificially raise the spot price, forcing short sellers to cut losses continuously, which in turn attracts more followers to go long. On the surface, it looks lively, but in reality, it’s all just inflated prices.
However, this game has a fatal weakness— the more t

#美国非农就业数据表现强劲 $BTC $ETH $SOL Market trends are heading in this direction, and the Ethereum upgrade could indeed bring a wave of opportunities. The bullish momentum is still there, and technical improvements often trigger market reactions. At this stage, many people are beginning to reassess the potential of the Ethereum ecosystem—whether it's performance optimization or cost reduction, both could become the next trigger point. The crypto market works this way; news and fundamentals often drive each other.