CavilZevran

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Age 0.5 Year
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Decoding the Markets. Delivering the Alpha
$FIL is walking into supply again.
I don’t like this bounce near 0.93 - 0.97, it already got slapped back hard and the move looks tired now. Sellers are clearly defending this area, and if price keeps failing to reclaim 0.95, I’m watching for another flush lower.
Short
Entry: 0.882 - 0.928
SL: 0.98
TP1: 0.823
TP2: 0.752
TP3: 0.681
FIL-0.87%
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$DOGE is walking into supply now.
This spike already stretched into 0.109 - 0.114 and the follow-through is fading fast. I’m watching for a rejection back under 0.106 first, then a flush toward 0.096 if sellers keep pressure on.
Short
Entry: 0.103 - 0.109
SL: 0.114
TP1: 0.096
TP2: 0.088
TP3: 0.080
DOGE4.23%
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$AVAX is walking into supply again.
I’m still leaning short while this 9.35 - 9.42 zone keeps rejecting. The last push got sold fast, and price is losing clean follow-through near resistance.
Short
Entry: 9.30 - 9.42
SL: 9.90
TP1: 8.35
TP2: 7.62
TP3: 6.89
If buyers can’t reclaim 9.42 cleanly, this bounce looks like exit liquidity for the next leg down.
AVAX-0.51%
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$BASED is losing the floor here.
I’m watching the 0.1250 area as the next liquidity target. The dump off 0.14 rejected hard, and now bounces are getting sold fast. If price stays below 0.1263, I lean short.
Short
Entry: 0.1253 - 0.1263
Stop Loss: 0.1304
TP1: 0.1224
TP2: 0.1201
TP3: 0.1167
BASED-5.62%
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GateUser-f0d5a2ed:
Wow, that's really, really beautiful!
$MOVR is still holding the trend floor.
I’m leaning long while price keeps defending 2.30 - 2.34. The 4h range is still intact, and this latest push is trying to build above the local base instead of rolling over.
Long
Entry: 2.337 - 2.361
Stop-loss: 2.230
TP1: 2.438
TP2: 2.497
TP3: 2.586
If 2.30 breaks clean, the long idea is wrong. Above 2.44, I expect the next leg to keep running into 2.49 and 2.58.
MOVR4.02%
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$CHIP is still leaning weak here.
The bounce attempts keep getting sold, and price is sitting under the last support shelf around 0.0632 - 0.0638. I’m watching for any weak retest into that zone — if it fails again, the next liquidity pocket is lower.
Short
Entry: 0.0628 - 0.0633
Stop Loss: 0.0650
Take Profit: 0.0616 - 0.0606
Above 0.0650, the short idea is wrong.
CHIP-13.59%
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$TAO is still holding the trend floor.
Long
Entry: 256.8 - 258.2
Stop-loss: 254.0
TP1: 261.6
TP2: 263.8
TP3: 267.0
I like this while price keeps defending the 256-258 area after the push. The real trigger is a clean reclaim above 262, because that can open the next leg into 266 and 267. Below 254, the long idea is dead.
TAO-1.37%
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$ORDI still looks like a dip-buy setup to me.
Price is holding the 4.38 area and the bounce from that support is still live. I’m watching for a clean push back through 4.42 first, then 4.48 - 4.53 if buyers step in.
Long
Entry: 4.381 - 4.395
Stop Loss: 4.316
Take Profit:
• 4.442
• 4.478
• 4.531
If 4.38 breaks cleanly, I’d stop trusting the long. Above 4.42, bulls keep the edge.
ORDI-3.1%
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$SPK is still in range, but the spring is tight.
Long
Entry: 0.0366 - 0.0370
Stop Loss: 0.0349
Take Profit:
• 0.0383
• 0.0392
• 0.0406
I’m watching the 0.0366 - 0.0370 band because price keeps defending that area while the last spike took liquidity above. If this holds and we get a clean push through 0.0370, the next legs are still open. Lose 0.0349 and the long idea is dead.
SPK-3.67%
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$VELVET is still holding the trend floor.
Long
Entry: 0.1158 - 0.1170
Stop-loss: 0.1119
TP1: 0.1219
TP2: 0.1248
TP3: 0.1291
I like this while price keeps defending the 0.115 - 0.116 area. The move already pushed hard once, but buyers are still trying to build a higher low instead of giving it all back. Clean reclaim above 0.118 pushes this back toward the highs.
VELVET1.51%
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$DOGE breakout push… 0.110 is the level now.
This is a clean squeeze off the range top, but I’m not chasing the first wick into resistance. If price holds above 0.1098 on the retest, continuation toward 0.1120 - 0.1151 is still live.
Long
Entry: 0.1099 - 0.1104
Stop Loss: 0.1077
Take Profit: 0.1120 - 0.1151
Buyers just shoved through the local ceiling and volume picked up with it. I want to see 0.110 hold, otherwise this turns into a fakeout fast.
DOGE4.23%
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$H is walking into supply now.
Short
Entry: 0.174 - 0.182
SL: 0.195
TP1: 0.161
TP2: 0.147
TP3: 0.133
That rebound already pushed into the exhaustion pocket, and the last push up is getting sold fast. I’m watching this 0.182 - 0.195 area for rejection first. If sellers keep defending it, this can roll back into the prior support pockets below.
H9.18%
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$SIREN is still holding the range floor.
I’m leaning long while price keeps defending 0.67 - 0.68. The bounce back above 0.69 shows buyers are still active, and a clean push through 0.70 can open the next leg.
Long
Entry: 0.681 - 0.685
Stop-loss: 0.664
TP1: 0.697
TP2: 0.706
TP3: 0.720
Below 0.664, the long idea is wrong. Above 0.70, liquidity starts looking like the next magnet.
SIREN-3.97%
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$MET This still looks heavy. The bounce into 0.159 - 0.160 is getting sold, and the lower highs keep the bearish structure alive.
Short
Entry: 0.1566 - 0.1573
SL: 0.1599
TP1: 0.1547
TP2: 0.1532
TP3: 0.1510
I’m watching that 0.160 area as the clean invalidation. If price can’t reclaim it, liquidity below stays in play.
MET-2.08%
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$GENIUS is still heavy.
That short bias is intact, but I’m not chasing it down here. Price is sitting near the lower end of the 1D range and the bounce attempts keep getting sold. If 0.520 - 0.522 fails to reclaim, sellers can still press into 0.513 and 0.507.
Short idea stays valid while 0.5319 holds above. Above that, the trap risk starts.
GENIUS-13.47%
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$ORDI is walking straight into supply now.
I’m still leaning short here. The bounce is losing steam around 4.45 - 4.55, and every push is getting sold back into the same area.
Short
Entry: 4.32 - 4.54
SL: 4.80
TP1: 4.03
TP2: 3.66
TP3: 3.29
If buyers can’t reclaim 4.60 cleanly, this looks like a rejection zone first, and a deeper flush after. Above 4.80, the short idea is wrong.
ORDI-3.1%
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$XRP the break is in, and bulls lost the ascending support that was holding this move up.
I’m watching the weak bounce back into the broken area now. That old floor around 1.39-1.42 is turning into resistance, and the retest looks like sellers are still in control.
The move out of the spring squeeze already flushed a lot of the local support, and losing the 1.40 handle adds more pressure on late longs. If this bounce keeps getting rejected, the next areas below are still open.
A clean 4H close back above 1.45 would weaken the bearish read, but right now the structure still leans lower.
XRP-1.08%
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$VELVET is losing steam right into supply.
I’m leaning Short here while price keeps stalling under 0.119. The push up is already getting sold, and this looks more like a failed continuation than a clean breakout.
Short
Entry: 0.106 - 0.112
SL: 0.119
TP: 0.099 - 0.091
If buyers can’t reclaim the 0.115 - 0.119 area, I expect the move to keep unwinding.
VELVET1.51%
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$BTC the wedge finally cracked, and bulls just lost the clean structure they were leaning on.
That 4H close below support matters. The old floor is now acting like resistance, and I’m watching this retest closely. If price keeps rejecting the break area, that’s a sign the buyers are still not getting it back.
This move had been grinding for weeks, so the shift out of compression into expansion makes sense. Late longs are the ones getting squeezed now, especially while BTC stays capped under the $78k area.
For me, the bearish read only weakens if BTC can reclaim back above the broken wedge quic
BTC-0.24%
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$STABLE is walking into supply now.
Short
Entry: 0.0367 - 0.0369
SL: 0.0376
TP1: 0.0361
TP2: 0.0357
TP3: 0.0351
I don’t like this push into the highs after the grind up. Price is stretched, RSI was already hot, and the move keeps stalling near the same resistance band. If sellers defend this zone again, I’m looking for the bounce to unwind first. Above 0.0376, the short is wrong.
STABLE-4.99%
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