$81,000 of $BTC , do you want to chase?

Institutions have been buying over $2.4 billion worth of assets in a week, ETF inflows approaching $60 billion, MicroStrategy adding 535 more coins—yet just now, amid geopolitical tensions and CPI eve, the price dropped from $82.4k back to $80.4k, RSI entered oversold territory.
First look at the surface: the bottom is rising, funds are entering.
Last week, BTC posted its strongest weekly candle of 2026, climbing from around $75k to $82.4k, nearly a 10% increase. Market cap is $1.62 trillion, with a surge in 24-hour trading volume. The candlestick shows: a rebound confirmed at the lower boundary of the downtrend channel, MACD bullish crossover appeared, and on the weekly level, it quietly strengthened amid an atmosphere of “nobody believes.”
First thing: institutions are aggressively accumulating.
The US spot BTC ETF has a net inflow of +$59.8 billion, with $2.44 billion inflow in April alone, the strongest month of 2026.
MicroStrategy bought another 535 coins, totaling 818k coins, with an average cost of $75,540.
Exchange spot supply is at its lowest level since 2019, long-term holders control 75% of circulating supply.
Second thing: the supply shock after the halving has just begun to show.
After the 2024 halving, new coin issuance per day has been cut in half. The amount ETF absorbs daily is ten times the mining output. Fewer BTC are available for purchase in the market.
Third thing: a key technical signal has appeared.
After spiking to $82.4k over the weekend and pulling back, a long upper shadow formed, RSI entered oversold, and short-term moving averages were broken. Geopolitical conflicts (Iran situation) pushed oil prices higher, and CPI data is about to be released tonight—historically, BTC tends to rally after CPI reports 4 out of 5 times, but will this time be different?
Key level: $80k, the last line of defense for bulls and bears.
Resistance above: $82k–$83,500 → $85k–$90k
Support below: $80k (psychological + weekly) → $77,000–$79k (bull market support zone) → $75k (iron bottom)
Short-term traders:
Wait for a pullback to $79k–$80k before entering, stop-loss at $78k (exit if it drops below), first target to take half at $82.5k. After breaking $82.5k, chase longs, stop-loss at $80k, aiming for $85k–$90k. Tonight’s CPI release could either push straight to $85k or pull back to $78k to give you a chance to buy.
Swing traders:
Wait for the daily close above $82k before entering, use dynamic take-profit to hold, target $90k–$100k, don’t get shaken out by manipulation.
Long-term believers:
Invest in batches below $80k with eyes closed. Target $90k–$120k by the end of 2026, optimistically $150k. ETF + halving + institutional bull market, retail FOMO has not fully started yet. But remember—if it drops below $78k, reduce positions; if it breaks $75k, clear and watch $BTC #Gate广场五月交易分享