Vitalik Buterin recently posted a lengthy analysis on X urging the blockchain and cryptography communities to transition to stronger security standards—specifically, 128-bit security. According to him, the current security level of many systems is gradually becoming outdated as global computational power increases faster than ever before.
Buterin calculated that Bitcoin’s total accumulated proof-of-work (PoW)—that is, the total computational power expended to mine the current blockchain—has reached approximately 2^96 hashes.
When total PoW reaches the 96-bit mark, it means that to brute-force or overwrite the entire history of Bitcoin, an attacker would need to perform computations equivalent to 2^96 SHA-256 hashes—a number so massive it is far beyond the capability of any real-world computer system.
Vitalik referenced the argument of Ethereum researcher Justin Drake, who for years has advocated for the industry to use cryptographic systems with at least 128-bit security (requiring hackers to perform 2^128 operations to break the system). For example:
Global computational power is continuously increasing, especially as AI, GPU, ASIC, and quantum computing develop further. 2. 128-bit is considered secure for decades
128-bit equals 3.4 × 10^38 possibilities—so large that no foreseeable computational platform can brute-force it. 3. Many legacy crypto systems only reach close to 128-bit
Some old signature algorithms and hash functions may become weak in the face of new technologies. 4. Security standardization helps the entire industry synchronize
Any blockchain could become a weak point if using outdated cryptographic standards, putting the whole ecosystem at risk.
Bitcoin uses SHA-256 and PoW, which are extremely strong. However, the network reaching a security level equivalent to 96 bits makes Buterin concerned that we are approaching the threshold that cryptographic systems need to surpass.
Given that:
→ If the industry doesn’t transition in time, old cryptographic systems could become significant risk points.
Buterin’s message is very clear:
Vitalik warns that if the ecosystem doesn’t upgrade, future risks will be much greater than they are now.
Thach Sanh