Former Chinese billionaire CZ: The cryptocurrency market is still in its early stages, accounting for only 3% of the global stock market

加密市值僅占股市3%

Binance founder CZ states that the cryptocurrency market is still very small compared to the global financial system. As of January 4, 2026, the crypto market cap is $3.17 trillion, accounting for only 3% of the global stock market (over $110 trillion). CZ emphasizes “this is just the beginning,” and blockchain technology has yet to fully penetrate areas such as payments and finance.

The Structural Market Gap Behind 3%

CZ’s core argument is built on a startling data comparison: the total cryptocurrency market cap of $3.17 trillion seems huge, but in the context of the global financial markets, this figure appears insignificant. The global stock market exceeds $110 trillion, the bond market is about $130 trillion, and the real estate market is valued at over $280 trillion. Adding these three traditional asset classes together, the total exceeds $520 trillion, while cryptocurrencies only account for about 0.6%.

This vast gap reveals two key messages. First, cryptocurrencies are still in the very early stages of adoption. Although Bitcoin has been around for over 15 years and Ethereum for nearly 10, the vast majority of the world’s population and businesses have yet to engage with or use cryptocurrencies. Second, even a tiny increase in market penetration could lead to exponential growth. If the crypto market cap grows from 0.6% to 5% of global financial assets, it would reach $26 trillion, representing more than an 8-fold increase from current levels.

CZ’s perspective is highly similar to that of early internet investors. In the late 1990s, internet users accounted for only about 5% of the global population, but visionary investors recognized this as a structural opportunity rather than a bubble. Today, the adoption rate of cryptocurrencies is comparable to the internet’s penetration at that time, reinforcing a long-term bullish outlook. CZ has over 9 million followers, and his comments have a profound influence on retail and institutional investors alike, reigniting optimism within the community.

Institutional Adoption Is on the Verge of a Critical Threshold

Although CZ stepped down as CEO of Binance in 2023 following a settlement with US regulators, he still holds significant influence in industry discussions. His success in building the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange demonstrates his long-term strategic vision. CZ points out that institutions have begun investing in cryptocurrencies through ETFs, custody services, and on-chain products, but these still represent a small portion of traditional portfolios.

Barriers to institutional adoption are gradually being removed. Regulatory transparency in key jurisdictions is improving, with the US SEC approving spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, providing compliant channels for institutions. Meanwhile, blockchain networks are continuously enhancing scalability, privacy, and interoperability. Solana’s Alpenglow upgrade reduces finality time to 150 milliseconds, and Ethereum’s Layer 2 solutions significantly lower transaction costs. These technological advances reduce friction and foster new application scenarios.

Three Major Drivers for Large-Scale Institutional Entry

Regulatory Certainty Enhancement: Major economies such as the US, EU, and Asia are establishing clear regulatory frameworks for cryptocurrencies. Progress on MiCA (EU Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation) and the US Market Structure Bill provides legal protections for institutions, alleviating compliance concerns.

Mature Infrastructure: Institutional-grade custody services (like Fidelity Digital Assets), on-chain identity verification, and smart contract auditing standards enable large asset managers to participate safely in the crypto market.

Diversification of Yield Products: Staking yields, DeFi lending, and structured products offer institutions alternatives to traditional fixed income. In a low-interest-rate environment, the yield attractiveness of cryptocurrencies has increased significantly.

The entry of traditional giants like BlackRock, Fidelity, and JPMorgan marks a transition from testing waters to strategic allocation. If institutions increase their crypto holdings from the current 1% to 5%, capital inflows could reach trillions of dollars, fundamentally changing market structure.

The Development Stage of Technology Determines Long-Term Ceiling

CZ emphasizes that blockchain technology has yet to achieve full global penetration in payments, finance, governance, and digital ownership. Despite years of development, crypto usage remains relatively low compared to traditional financial systems. Most transactions worldwide still rely on conventional infrastructure, and blockchain-based solutions have not yet penetrated mainstream commerce, government services, or enterprise finance.

This gap presents both challenges and opportunities. Applications of blockchain in cross-border payments, supply chain tracking, digital identity, and asset tokenization are still in proof-of-concept stages. Ripple’s cross-border payment network, Chainlink’s oracle services, and the tokenization of Real World Assets (RWA) demonstrate the enormous potential for integration between traditional finance and blockchain. Solana’s RWA ecosystem recently hit a record high of $873 million, but this is only the tip of the iceberg regarding global asset tokenization potential.

While the potential of cryptocurrencies is enormous, they remain volatile, insecure, and highly speculative. Widespread adoption is not smooth sailing; after rapid growth, markets often experience pullbacks and consolidations. CZ’s views align with many long-term investors who shift focus from short-term price fluctuations to long-term structural development. This mindset advocates strategic thinking, believing that the current market size is still small compared to its potential, and long-term high returns are still possible.

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