Is the 2025 bull market the last chance for retail investors?

Author: Bitcoin Lao Xue: Source: Author Twitter: @laoxue_eth

Is the possible 25-year bull market the last chance for retail investors?

Yesterday at a small gathering, professional trader Rocky @Rocky_Bitcoin put forward this thought. His reason was:

**The entry of professional investment institutions such as BlackRock will launch more and more derivatives, and these derivatives are used by professional players for arbitrage. **

It will inevitably flatten the volatility of the target. In short, in the future, BTC and others may be like US stocks, and the volatility and increase may be greatly reduced. **

My thoughts are:

1. As the volume of BTC increases, the increase is indeed getting smaller and smaller. For example, the last bull market was only 3.5 times from the high of 20,000 in 2017 to the high of 69,000 in 21;

In 2013, the highest point was $1,000, and from 13 years to 2017, it was 20 times.

So how many times should the 21-year-possible 25-year bull market be?

Furthermore, not many people made profits from mainstream currencies in the last bull market. The most obvious thing is that it has become extremely difficult to make profits from fixed investments, and many people who made fixed investments lost money.

Personally, my biggest profit is not from asset growth but from new arbitrage.

Therefore, I am well prepared for the possibility that 25 years will be the last round of bull market. Faced with the few possible opportunities, how can I take a final bite of meat?

Although there is no chance to make money at this stage, it is very important because smart players are making preparations:

For example, the increase of principal, the accumulation of resources, and the improvement of money-making tools.

Last time Sister O @sensonlau organized a web3 study tour, she said what she felt most deeply this time was that the web3 study tours in the last bear market were all about making money individually, but this time the study tour was all about “how to set up a studio” and “how to join you” studio", “how to work together”.

The difficulty of making money for retail investors has changed from Easy to Hard, so what about 4 years later?

2. The current price of BTC may be relatively low. @Rocky_Bitcoin reminded that the bottom of BTC is constantly being raised. The most intuitive data is that the current price is in the bottom-hunting range of the “Nine Gods Index”.

At the gathering yesterday, everyone expressed that their confidence at 18,000 was stronger than it is now, and their confidence has been worn away now.

The final conclusion is that many people believe that the bull market has already started (the lowest point of BTC has passed, and the right side has started to rise).